state house districtNew York 126th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+3.3
2008D+6.3
2012D+6.1
2016R+4.7
2020D+2.3
2024D+0.03
net swing · 2004→2024D+3.3R+3.3 → D+0.03
vs. U.S. · 2024D+1.5D+0.03 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 72.4% of 104,138 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
37,511
37,492
372
75,375
104,138
72.4%
2020
38,212
36,427
1,712
76,351
101,986†
74.9%
2016
29,806
32,995
4,429
67,230
102,252†
65.7%
2012
33,354
29,471
1,223
64,048
100,678†
63.6%
2008
35,172
30,930
1,450
67,552
98,189†
68.8%
2004
32,406
34,673
1,433
68,512
95,700†
71.6%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY HD 126New YorkUnited States
Irish21.5%10.5%9.4%
Italian18.1%10.9%4.8%
German17.1%8.6%12.5%
English14.0%5.6%9.5%
Polish6.9%3.9%2.2%
American3.8%4.2%5.3%
French3.7%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.6%—1.3%
Puerto Rican1.3%5.1%1.8%
Mexican0.3%2.5%11.3%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Dominican0.2%4.6%0.7%
African American†2.1%8.0%9.9%
Chinese0.3%3.6%1.3%
Asian Indian0.2%1.9%1.4%
Burmese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY HD 126
New York
United States
Median age
45
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.9%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.8%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY HD 126
New York
United States
Median household income
$83,797
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.9%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.2%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY HD 126
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.8%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
3.1%
14.8%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.0%
2.0%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.5%
4.0%
2.0%
Other languages
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY HD 126
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 126th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−3.3%
2008
+6.3%
2012
+6.1%
2016
−4.7%
2020
+2.3%
2024
+0.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
49.8%Harris37,511
49.7%Trump37,492
0.5%
D+0.03
R+2.3
D+1.5
75,375
D
50.0%Biden38,212
47.7%Trump36,427
2.2%
D+2.3
D+7.1
R+2.1
76,351
R
44.3%Clinton29,806
49.1%Trump32,995
6.6%
R+4.7
R+10.8
R+6.8
67,230
D
52.1%Obama33,354
46.0%Romney29,471
1.9%
D+6.1
R+0.2
D+2.2
64,048
D
52.1%Obama35,172
45.8%McCain30,930
2.1%
D+6.3
D+9.6
R+1.0
67,552
R
47.3%Kerry32,406
50.6%Bush34,673
2.1%
R+3.3
—
R+0.9
68,512
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn LemondesState House · 126
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 126 in New York recorded a dead-even 2024 presidential margin, making it one of the state's sharpest bellwethers for tracking suburban or exurban shifts in voter alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 4.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.0 points.
A population of 133,919, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,797 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 127 and Assembly District 134.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 126th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36126/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 126th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 126th State House District voted a near-tie (D+0.03), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 75,375 votes cast, 37,511 went Democratic and 37,492 went Republican.
When did New York 126th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 126th State House District voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in New York 126th State House District?
New York 126th State House District has a population of 133,919 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 126th State House District?
Median household income in New York 126th State House District is $83,797 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 126th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 126th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
