HarrisDemocratic48.2%1,255TrumpRepublican46.8%1,218OtherAll other candidates5.0%130
D+1.4- Lead
- 37
- Total
- 2,603
- vs nation
- D+2.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Orange-1 State House District
Contests in this Place (48 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic52.1%1,290TrumpRepublican44.0%1,091OtherAll other candidates3.9%96
D+8.0- Lead
- 199
- Total
- 2,477
- vs nation
- D+3.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic42.6%900TrumpRepublican42.0%888OtherAll other candidates15.5%327
D+0.6- Lead
- 12
- Total
- 2,115
- vs nation
- R+1.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.7%1,149RomneyRepublican38.9%774OtherAll other candidates3.5%69
D+18.8- Lead
- 375
- Total
- 1,992
- vs nation
- D+15.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.4%1,226McCainRepublican40.4%862OtherAll other candidates2.2%47
D+17.0- Lead
- 364
- Total
- 2,135
- vs nation
- D+9.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic50.2%1,063BushRepublican48.7%1,032OtherAll other candidates1.1%23
D+1.5- Lead
- 31
- Total
- 2,118
- vs nation
- D+3.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic42.3%877BushRepublican53.3%1,105OtherAll other candidates4.4%92
R+11.0- Lead
- 228
- Total
- 2,074
- vs nation
- R+11.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.6%805DoleRepublican40.5%658OtherAll other candidates9.9%161
D+9.1- Lead
- 147
- Total
- 1,624
- vs nation
- D+0.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,2072024 5-year
- Population density
- 26 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 162 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,6862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Orange-Caledonia State House District, VT · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Orange-1 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
57.7%
1,149 votes · D+18.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.4%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
88.2%
839 votes · R+76.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 87.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,290votes
52.1% of the vote · D+8.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,255 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,218votes
46.8% of the vote · D+1.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 1,105 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+15.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +9.8 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+77.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.6 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +66.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMike TagliaviaState House · Orange-1
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With just over 4,000 residents spread across Vermont's Orange County hill towns, this district has shifted from reliably Democratic to a presidential margin of D+1.4 in 2024, reflecting broader rural realignment patterns visible across the Northeast.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.8 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 77.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.4 points.
A population of 4,207, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,686 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orange-Caledonia State House District and Orange-2 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Orange-Caledonia State House District
Vermont
98.9twin score
population scalemedian age% unaffiliated
Orange-2 State House District
Vermont
98.2twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory
Orange-3 State House District
Vermont
97.1twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orange-1 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50OR1/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Orange-1 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Orange-1 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orange-1 State House District voted Democratic by 1.4 points (D+1.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,603 votes cast, 1,255 went Democratic and 1,218 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orange-1 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orange-1 State House District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Vermont Orange-1 State House District?
Vermont Orange-1 State House District has a population of 4,207 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orange-1 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orange-1 State House District is $71,686 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orange-1 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orange-1 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.