state house districtVermont Orange-3 State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+11.7
2008D+31.3
2012D+31.9
2016D+17.3
2020D+24.0
2024D+20.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 58.9% of 3,308 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
1,127
737
85
1,949
3,308
58.9%
2020
1,136
682
70
1,888
3,183†
59.3%
2016
832
552
232
1,615
3,147†
51.3%
2012
1,001
506
43
1,550
3,098†
50.0%
2008
1,081
557
37
1,674
3,054†
54.8%
2004
900
708
35
1,642
3,009†
54.6%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
18922024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVT HD 3VermontUnited States
English24.0%19.1%9.5%
Irish13.1%16.8%9.4%
German8.9%10.7%12.5%
American8.5%7.0%5.3%
French7.7%8.6%1.6%
French Canadian6.3%6.2%—
Italian5.8%7.4%4.8%
Scottish5.7%3.0%1.3%
Mexican0.5%0.6%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VT HD 3
Vermont
United States
Median age
43.3
43.4
39.1
Age 18–24
7.3%
10.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.6%
21.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VT HD 3
Vermont
United States
Median household income
$82,390
$81,203
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.4%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.4%
44.1%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VT HD 3
Vermont
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.6%
5.5%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
VT HD 3
Vermont
United States
Catholic
—
20.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
7.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
62.4%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Vermont Orange-3 State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−36.1%
1896
−65.2%
1900
−53.0%
1904
−57.0%
1908
−52.2%
1912
−8.9%
1916
−21.3%
1920
−59.0%
1924
−70.0%
1928
−69.9%
1932
−39.9%
1936
−46.8%
1940
−37.9%
1944
−47.6%
1948
−55.3%
1952
−67.5%
1956
−67.9%
1960
−54.4%
1964
+18.0%
1968
−36.1%
1972
−39.2%
1976
−19.6%
1980
−16.7%
1984
−21.8%
1988
−10.3%
1992
+11.4%
1996
+16.8%
2000
−1.1%
2004
+11.7%
2008
+31.3%
2012
+31.9%
2016
+17.3%
2020
+24.0%
2024
+20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
57.8%Harris1,127
37.8%Trump737
4.4%
D+20.0
R+4.0
D+21.5
1,949
D
60.2%Biden1,136
36.1%Trump682
3.7%
D+24.0
D+6.7
D+19.6
1,888
D
51.5%Clinton832
34.2%Trump552
14.3%
D+17.3
R+14.6
D+15.2
1,615
D
64.6%Obama1,001
32.6%Romney506
2.8%
D+31.9
D+0.6
D+28.1
1,550
D
64.6%Obama1,081
33.3%McCain557
2.2%
D+31.3
D+19.6
D+24.0
1,674
D
54.8%Kerry900
43.1%Bush708
2.1%
D+11.7
D+12.8
D+14.2
1,642
R
45.6%Gore738
46.7%Bush756
7.8%
R+1.1
R+17.9
R+1.6
1,620
D
49.7%Clinton673
33.0%Dole446
17.3%
D+16.8
D+5.4
D+8.3
1,353
D
43.1%Clinton637
31.7%Bush469
25.2%
D+11.4
D+21.7
D+5.8
1,479
R
44.0%Dukakis549
54.3%Bush678
1.7%
R+10.3
D+11.5
R+2.6
1,248
R
38.4%Mondale451
60.3%Reagan707
1.3%
R+21.8
R+5.1
R+3.6
1,173
R
32.8%Carter340
49.5%Reagan513
17.7%
R+16.7
D+2.9
R+6.9
1,037
R
39.0%Carter350
58.6%Ford526
2.3%
R+19.6
D+19.6
R+21.7
897
R
29.9%McGovern257
69.1%Nixon594
1.0%
R+39.2
R+3.0
R+16.0
860
R
30.0%Humphrey207
66.2%Nixon456
3.8%
R+36.1
R+54.2
R+35.4
689
D
59.0%Johnson432
41.0%Goldwater300
0.0%
D+18.0
D+72.5
R+4.6
732
R
22.7%Kennedy174
77.2%Nixon591
0.1%
R+54.4
D+13.4
R+54.6
766
R
16.0%Stevenson118
83.9%Eisenhower619
0.1%
R+67.9
R+0.4
R+52.5
738
R
16.1%Stevenson119
83.5%Eisenhower619
0.4%
R+67.5
R+12.1
R+56.7
741
R
21.6%Truman126
77.0%Dewey448
1.4%
R+55.3
R+7.7
R+59.8
582
R
26.2%Roosevelt161
73.8%Dewey454
0.0%
R+47.6
R+9.7
R+55.1
615
R
30.9%Roosevelt224
68.8%Willkie499
0.3%
R+37.9
D+8.9
R+47.9
725
R
26.5%Roosevelt198
73.3%Landon547
0.1%
R+46.8
R+6.9
R+71.0
746
R
29.5%Roosevelt202
69.3%Hoover475
1.2%
R+39.9
D+30.0
R+57.6
685
R
14.9%Smith101
84.7%Hoover576
0.4%
R+69.9
D+0.1
R+52.4
680
R
12.9%Davis80
82.9%Coolidge514
4.2%
R+70.0
R+11.0
R+44.8
620
R
19.8%Cox103
78.8%Harding409
1.3%
R+59.0
R+37.7
R+32.8
519
R
38.0%Wilson152
59.3%Hughes237
2.8%
R+21.3
R+12.4
R+24.4
400
O
25.2%Wilson105
34.1%Taft142
40.6%
Roosevelt +6.3
D+43.3
R+28.4
416
R
22.1%Bryan74
74.3%Taft249
3.6%
R+52.2
D+4.7
R+42.7
335
R
20.1%Parker65
77.1%Roosevelt249
2.8%
R+57.0
R+4.0
R+37.3
323
R
22.3%Bryan82
75.3%McKinley277
2.4%
R+53.0
D+12.2
R+45.4
368
R
14.9%Bryan63
80.1%McKinley338
5.0%
R+65.2
R+29.1
R+59.1
422
R
30.1%Cleveland120
66.2%Harrison264
3.8%
R+36.1
—
R+37.7
399
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current representation
Current officeholders
RJosh DobrovichState House · Orange-3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With just over 4,200 residents spread across central Vermont's hill towns, Orange-3 sits at the margin between the state's traditionally Democratic leanings and the rural Republican drift that produced a 3.3-point Republican edge in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.9 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 70.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.
A population of 4,201, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,390 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orange-2 State House District and Orange-1 State House District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orange-3 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50OR3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Vermont Orange-3 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orange-3 State House District voted Democratic by 20.0 points (D+20.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,949 votes cast, 1,127 went Democratic and 737 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orange-3 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orange-3 State House District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Vermont Orange-3 State House District?
Vermont Orange-3 State House District has a population of 4,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orange-3 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Orange-3 State House District is $82,390 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orange-3 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orange-3 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
