state senate districtCalifornia 2nd State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+33.4
2008D+46.4
2012D+41.3
2016D+43.9
2020D+47.9
2024D+43.3
net swing · 2004→2024D+9.9D+33.4 → D+43.3
vs. U.S. · 2024D+44.8D+43.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.8% of 721,516 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
342,447
130,434
16,557
489,438
721,516
67.8%
2020
387,053
132,192
13,049
532,294
719,433†
74.0%
2016
312,476
111,034
34,952
458,462
709,223†
64.6%
2012
301,939
119,794
18,954
440,687
687,945†
64.1%
2008
335,422
122,220
2,183
459,825
665,614†
69.1%
2004
301,712
148,091
9,466
459,269
643,283†
71.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCA SD 2CaliforniaUnited States
German13.5%6.8%12.5%
English13.3%6.3%9.5%
Irish12.7%5.9%9.4%
Italian7.0%3.4%4.8%
American2.8%2.8%5.3%
Scottish2.8%0.9%1.3%
French2.8%1.3%1.6%
Polish1.7%0.9%2.2%
Mexican16.7%32.3%11.3%
Guatemalan1.3%1.3%0.5%
Salvadoran0.8%2.0%0.7%
Spanish0.7%0.3%—
Puerto Rican0.5%0.6%1.8%
Spaniard0.5%0.3%—
Peruvian0.2%——
Chinese1.0%3.9%1.3%
Filipino0.8%3.3%0.9%
Asian Indian0.5%2.3%1.4%
Vietnamese0.5%1.7%0.6%
Korean0.2%1.2%0.4%
Japanese0.2%0.6%0.2%
Hmong0.2%0.3%—
Aztec2.1%0.3%—
African American†1.2%4.4%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
CA SD 2
California
United States
Median age
44.1
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
7.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.4%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
CA SD 2
California
United States
Median household income
$95,254
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.4%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
40.2%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
CA SD 2
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
22.5%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
16.3%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.7%
3.4%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
CA SD 2
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
California 2nd State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+33.4%
2008
+46.4%
2012
+41.3%
2016
+43.9%
2020
+47.9%
2024
+43.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
70.0%Harris342,447
26.6%Trump130,434
3.4%
D+43.3
R+4.6
D+44.8
489,438
D
72.7%Biden387,053
24.8%Trump132,192
2.5%
D+47.9
D+3.9
D+43.4
532,294
D
68.2%Clinton312,476
24.2%Trump111,034
7.6%
D+43.9
D+2.6
D+41.8
458,462
D
68.5%Obama301,939
27.2%Romney119,794
4.3%
D+41.3
R+5.0
D+37.5
440,687
D
72.9%Obama335,422
26.6%McCain122,220
0.5%
D+46.4
D+12.9
D+39.1
459,825
D
65.7%Kerry301,712
32.2%Bush148,091
2.1%
D+33.4
—
D+35.9
459,269
current representation
Current officeholders
DMike McGuireState Senate · 2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in the East Bay, this district delivered a 35-point presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a dense, majority-minority electorate where Democratic candidates routinely run unopposed or face only token opposition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.9 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.3 points.
A population of 996,083, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,254 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 7.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
California 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/06002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did California 2nd State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, California 2nd State Senate District voted Democratic by 43.3 points (D+43.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 489,438 votes cast, 342,447 went Democratic and 130,434 went Republican.
How many people live in California 2nd State Senate District?
California 2nd State Senate District has a population of 996,083 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in California 2nd State Senate District?
Median household income in California 2nd State Senate District is $95,254 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of California 2nd State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in California 2nd State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
