Lake County, California: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 68,1522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,6212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Erie County, PA · similarity 0.97
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lake CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lake County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +29.7% |
| 1880 | +19.5% |
| 1884 | +15.1% |
| 1888 | +8.3% |
| 1892 | +7.8% |
| 1896 | +21.4% |
| 1900 | +11.5% |
| 1904 | −3.3% |
| 1908 | +0.2% |
| 1912 | +51.9% |
| 1916 | +16.7% |
| 1920 | −24.3% |
| 1924 | −30.2% |
| 1928 | −32.1% |
| 1932 | +27.9% |
| 1936 | +1.1% |
| 1940 | −7.7% |
| 1944 | −10.4% |
| 1948 | −19.8% |
| 1952 | −36.2% |
| 1956 | −30.1% |
| 1960 | −18.0% |
| 1964 | +12.8% |
| 1968 | −7.5% |
| 1972 | −15.0% |
| 1976 | +7.4% |
| 1980 | −17.7% |
| 1984 | −11.2% |
| 1988 | +2.4% |
| 1992 | +16.7% |
| 1996 | +13.9% |
| 2000 | +9.6% |
| 2004 | +8.3% |
| 2008 | +19.2% |
| 2012 | +16.9% |
| 2016 | +3.6% |
| 2020 | +6.3% |
| 2024 | −1.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,794 | 13,161 | 26,759 | ||
| D | 14,941 | 13,123 | 28,986 | ||
| D | 11,500 | 10,603 | 24,684 | ||
| D | 13,163 | 9,200 | 23,391 | ||
| D | 14,854 | 9,935 | 25,629 | ||
| D | 13,141 | 11,093 | 24,719 | ||
| D | 10,717 | 8,699 | 20,919 | ||
| D | 10,432 | 7,458 | 21,335 | ||
| D | 10,548 | 6,678 | 23,213 | ||
| D | 9,828 | 9,366 | 19,502 | ||
| R | 8,648 | 10,874 | 19,831 | ||
| R | 5,978 | 8,934 | 16,654 | ||
| D | 6,374 | 5,462 | 12,285 | ||
| R | 4,715 | 6,477 | 11,750 | ||
| R | 3,777 | 4,464 | 9,111 | ||
| D | 4,680 | 3,616 | 8,302 | ||
| R | 2,897 | 4,176 | 7,109 | ||
| R | 2,185 | 4,073 | 6,282 | ||
| R | 1,911 | 4,113 | 6,087 | ||
| R | 1,999 | 3,054 | 5,333 | ||
| R | 1,671 | 2,059 | 3,746 | ||
| R | 1,897 | 2,215 | 4,151 | ||
| D | 1,837 | 1,797 | 3,687 | ||
| D | 2,344 | 1,301 | 3,744 | ||
| R | 926 | 1,820 | 2,784 | ||
| R | 261 | 795 | 1,769 | ||
| R | 571 | 993 | 1,735 | ||
| D | 1,164 | 791 | 2,233 | ||
| D | 1,118 | 0 | 2,156 | ||
| D | 628 | 625 | 1,459 | ||
| R | 594 | 641 | 1,412 | ||
| D | 746 | 584 | 1,409 | ||
| D | 854 | 546 | 1,437 | ||
| D | 644 | 532 | 1,432 | ||
| D | 867 | 731 | 1,629 | ||
| D | 798 | 588 | 1,391 | ||
| D | 677 | 454 | 1,141 | ||
| D | 702 | 380 | 1,085 |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.4%
Irish
14.0%
English
13.6%
Italian
5.2%
American
4.1%
French
3.0%
Scottish
2.4%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,621
Lake County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lake County$60,621
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Lake County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.3%
Working age (18–64)17.0%
Seniors (65+)9.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
80.3%
speak English only
Spanish17.3%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 69.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lake County, anchored by Clear Lake and dependent on agriculture and tourism, has swung from reliably Democratic to near-even territory since 2004, making it a rare competitive marker in California's otherwise lopsided interior counties.
The Democratic margin here once reached fifty-two points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 68,152, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,621 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Erie County and Cibola County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lake County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More florida surge counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lake County, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lake County, California voted Republican by 1.4 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,759 votes cast, 12,794 went Democratic and 13,161 went Republican.
What is Lake County, California's political typology?
Akashic places Lake County, California in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Lake County, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lake County, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Lake County, California?
Lake County, California has a population of 68,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake County, California?
Median household income in Lake County, California is $60,621 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Lake County, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lake County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.