state senate districtNew Jersey 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+31.7
2008D+42.4
2012D+42.4
2016D+45.7
2020D+47.8
2024D+41.5
net swing · 2004→2024D+9.8D+31.7 → D+41.5
vs. U.S. · 2024D+43.0D+41.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 61.1% of 150,739 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
64,098
25,856
2,129
92,083
150,739
61.1%
2020
74,869
26,200
790
101,859
148,735†
68.5%
2016
65,714
23,528
3,118
92,360
148,245†
62.3%
2012
65,338
25,830
2,084
93,252
146,081†
63.8%
2008
67,290
26,841
1,181
95,312
144,454†
66.0%
2004
57,252
29,518
608
87,378
142,827†
61.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNJ SD 15New JerseyUnited States
Italian9.8%13.7%4.8%
Irish9.6%12.1%9.4%
German8.2%8.6%12.5%
English5.4%4.9%9.5%
Polish4.4%4.6%2.2%
American2.2%3.3%5.3%
Russian0.9%1.3%—
Hungarian0.8%——
African American†18.8%8.6%9.9%
Haitian1.4%0.7%0.3%
Jamaican1.1%0.8%0.4%
African0.8%0.5%0.5%
Liberian0.8%——
Nigerian0.5%0.4%0.2%
Ghanaian0.3%——
West Indian0.3%——
Guatemalan5.5%—0.5%
Puerto Rican5.0%5.1%1.8%
Dominican2.7%4.0%0.7%
Ecuadorian2.1%1.7%—
Mexican1.4%2.6%11.3%
Honduran0.8%—0.3%
Colombian0.8%1.7%0.4%
Peruvian0.5%0.8%—
Asian Indian6.7%4.6%1.4%
Chinese2.1%1.6%1.3%
Filipino0.7%1.3%0.9%
Korean0.6%1.1%0.4%
Japanese0.3%—0.2%
Pakistani0.3%0.4%—
Taiwanese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NJ SD 15
New Jersey
United States
Median age
39.8
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.8%
8.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.7%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NJ SD 15
New Jersey
United States
Median household income
$95,296
$103,556
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.5%
9.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
47.1%
43.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NJ SD 15
New Jersey
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
32.6%
33.2%
22.3%
Spanish
17.1%
17.2%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
5.2%
5.6%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.0%
1.5%
1.1%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.3%
1.6%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NJ SD 15
New Jersey
United States
Catholic
—
32.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
47.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Jersey 15th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+31.7%
2008
+42.4%
2012
+42.4%
2016
+45.7%
2020
+47.8%
2024
+41.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
69.6%Harris64,098
28.1%Trump25,856
2.3%
D+41.5
R+6.3
D+43.0
92,083
D
73.5%Biden74,869
25.7%Trump26,200
0.8%
D+47.8
D+2.1
D+43.3
101,859
D
71.1%Clinton65,714
25.5%Trump23,528
3.4%
D+45.7
D+3.3
D+43.6
92,360
D
70.1%Obama65,338
27.7%Romney25,830
2.2%
D+42.4
R+0.1
D+38.5
93,252
D
70.6%Obama67,290
28.2%McCain26,841
1.2%
D+42.4
D+10.7
D+35.2
95,312
D
65.5%Kerry57,252
33.8%Bush29,518
0.7%
D+31.7
—
D+34.2
87,378
current representation
Current officeholders
DShirley TurnerState Senate · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
New Jersey's 15th Senate district, with over 234,000 residents, has shifted toward competitive territory, posting an R+2.8 presidential margin in 2024 — a signal that its suburban electorate remains genuinely contested.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.8 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.5 points.
A population of 234,229, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,296 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 26 and State Senate District 20.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Jersey 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/34015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Jersey 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey 15th State Senate District voted Democratic by 41.5 points (D+41.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 92,083 votes cast, 64,098 went Democratic and 25,856 went Republican.
How many people live in New Jersey 15th State Senate District?
New Jersey 15th State Senate District has a population of 234,229 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in New Jersey 15th State Senate District is $95,296 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New Jersey 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Jersey 15th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
