state senate districtNew York 38th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+0.9
2008D+7.5
2012D+8.3
2016D+8.4
2020D+2.9
2024R+11.0
net swing · 2004→2024R+12.0D+0.9 → R+11.0
vs. U.S. · 2024R+9.6R+11.0 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 70.7% of 201,387 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
62,656
78,390
1,357
142,403
201,387
70.7%
2020
72,353
68,259
1,604
142,216
197,013†
72.2%
2016
66,675
56,027
4,568
127,270
195,139†
65.2%
2012
62,884
53,168
1,341
117,393
186,389†
63.0%
2008
66,458
57,084
1,033
124,575
178,851†
69.7%
2004
61,337
60,207
1,798
123,342
171,312†
72.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY SD 38New YorkUnited States
Irish10.6%10.5%9.4%
Italian9.2%10.9%4.8%
American8.4%4.2%5.3%
Hungarian7.4%——
German5.2%8.6%12.5%
Polish5.0%3.9%2.2%
English2.4%5.6%9.5%
Russian2.1%1.2%—
Dominican4.5%4.6%0.7%
Puerto Rican4.0%5.1%1.8%
Ecuadorian2.9%1.6%—
Guatemalan2.1%0.5%0.5%
Mexican1.3%2.5%11.3%
Salvadoran0.9%0.9%0.7%
Spaniard0.6%——
Colombian0.5%0.9%0.4%
African American†4.8%8.0%9.9%
Haitian3.5%0.9%0.3%
Jamaican0.9%1.6%0.4%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Nigerian0.3%0.2%0.2%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.3%0.4%—
Ghanaian0.2%——
Asian Indian2.5%1.9%1.4%
Chinese1.1%3.6%1.3%
Filipino1.1%0.6%0.9%
Pakistani0.5%0.4%—
Korean0.4%0.6%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY SD 38
New York
United States
Median age
34.4
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.8%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY SD 38
New York
United States
Median household income
$108,869
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.8%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
42.7%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY SD 38
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
44.2%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
15.2%
14.8%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
3.9%
1.5%
0.7%
German or other West Germanic
15.1%
1.5%
0.5%
Other Indo-European
2.9%
4.0%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY SD 38
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 38th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+0.9%
2008
+7.5%
2012
+8.3%
2016
+8.4%
2020
+2.9%
2024
−11.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.0%Harris62,656
55.0%Trump78,390
1.0%
R+11.0
R+13.9
R+9.6
142,403
D
50.9%Biden72,353
48.0%Trump68,259
1.1%
D+2.9
R+5.5
R+1.6
142,216
D
52.4%Clinton66,675
44.0%Trump56,027
3.6%
D+8.4
D+0.1
D+6.3
127,270
D
53.6%Obama62,884
45.3%Romney53,168
1.1%
D+8.3
D+0.8
D+4.4
117,393
D
53.3%Obama66,458
45.8%McCain57,084
0.8%
D+7.5
D+6.6
D+0.3
124,575
D
49.7%Kerry61,337
48.8%Bush60,207
1.5%
D+0.9
—
D+3.4
123,342
current representation
Current officeholders
RBill WeberState Senate · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+11.0 in 2024 and D+7.5 in 2008, switching sides at least once in between. The district had about 288,000 residents, 62.4% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.4 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 11.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 13.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.0 points.
A population of 323,516, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $108,869 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 9 and State Senate District 36.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 38th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 38th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 38th State Senate District voted Republican by 11.0 points (R+11.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 142,403 votes cast, 62,656 went Democratic and 78,390 went Republican.
When did New York 38th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 38th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New York 38th State Senate District?
New York 38th State Senate District has a population of 323,516 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 38th State Senate District?
Median household income in New York 38th State Senate District is $108,869 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 38th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 38th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
