Coffee County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 24,932 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -2-1 Trinity Baptist Church2-1 Trinity Baptist Church | 750 | 2,047 | 41 | 2,838 | 26.4% | 72.1% | R+45.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3-1 Coffee County Rescue Squad3-1 Coffee County Rescue Squad | 373 | 1,679 | 34 | 2,086 | 17.9% | 80.5% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -1-1 First Baptist Church1-1 First Baptist Church | 533 | 1,492 | 36 | 2,061 | 25.9% | 72.4% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -8-2 Grace Baptist Church8-2 Grace Baptist Church | 570 | 1,458 | 23 | 2,051 | 27.8% | 71.1% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -5-1 Hickerson Station Fire Hall5-1 Hickerson Station Fire Hall | 331 | 1,623 | 29 | 1,983 | 16.7% | 81.8% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -4-1 New Union Church of Christ4-1 New Union Church of Christ | 293 | 1,544 | 19 | 1,856 | 15.8% | 83.2% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -5-2 Blanton's Chapel Community Center5-2 Blanton's Chapel Community Center | 288 | 1,416 | 14 | 1,718 | 16.8% | 82.4% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -6-1 Conference Center6-1 Conference Center | 264 | 1,310 | 18 | 1,592 | 16.6% | 82.3% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -6-2 Hillsboro Community Center6-2 Hillsboro Community Center | 244 | 1,249 | 11 | 1,504 | 16.2% | 83.0% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -9-1 D.W. Wilson Community Center9-1 D.W. Wilson Community Center | 455 | 1,029 | 10 | 1,494 | 30.5% | 68.9% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -4-2 Forest Mill Church of Christ4-2 Forest Mill Church of Christ | 215 | 1,155 | 28 | 1,398 | 15.4% | 82.6% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -8-1 Lion's Club8-1 Lion's Club | 313 | 865 | 19 | 1,197 | 26.1% | 72.3% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -3-2 Lakewood Baptist Church3-2 Lakewood Baptist Church | 196 | 959 | 14 | 1,169 | 16.8% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -7-1 CD Stamps7-1 CD Stamps | 357 | 763 | 10 | 1,130 | 31.6% | 67.5% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -7-2 Wesley Heights Methodist Church7-2 Wesley Heights Methodist Church | 258 | 585 | 12 | 855 | 30.2% | 68.4% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -9-2 and 9-4 Cedar Lane Church of Christ9-2 and 9-4 Cedar Lane Church of Christ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +45.4% |
| 1896 | +48.0% |
| 1900 | +43.9% |
| 1904 | +44.7% |
| 1908 | +42.5% |
| 1912 | +51.1% |
| 1916 | +57.5% |
| 1920 | +42.6% |
| 1924 | +53.7% |
| 1928 | +2.1% |
| 1932 | +63.3% |
| 1936 | +67.7% |
| 1940 | +68.3% |
| 1944 | +65.2% |
| 1948 | +40.0% |
| 1952 | +25.2% |
| 1956 | +34.5% |
| 1960 | +19.5% |
| 1964 | +38.8% |
| 1968 | −2.7% |
| 1972 | −35.5% |
| 1976 | +34.7% |
| 1980 | +16.1% |
| 1984 | −14.9% |
| 1988 | −15.8% |
| 1992 | +14.6% |
| 1996 | +5.6% |
| 2000 | −0.3% |
| 2004 | −17.6% |
| 2008 | −29.4% |
| 2012 | −37.1% |
| 2016 | −48.4% |
| 2020 | −50.2% |
| 2024 | −55.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 32,656 |
| 2018 | 31,630 |
| 2020 | 34,762 |
| 2022 | 35,848 |
| 2024 | 38,150 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+918 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +8,128 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,914 in average income, against $68,883 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+39.2 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Coffee County, TN itself (R+55.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Rutherford County, TN444R+21.8
- Franklin County, TN268R+53.2
- Bedford County, TN154R+58.0
- Warren County, TN92R+56.1
- Davidson County, TN69D+27.4
- Moore County, TN62R+68.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Franklin County, TN277
- Rutherford County, TN229
- Bedford County, TN125
- Warren County, TN89
- Davidson County, TN69
- Moore County, TN64
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +139 |
| 2012 | +250 |
| 2013 | +171 |
| 2014 | +242 |
| 2015 | +510 |
| 2016 | +474 |
| 2017 | +527 |
| 2018 | +862 |
| 2019 | +623 |
| 2021 | +965 |
| 2022 | +834 |
| 2023 | +852 |
| 2024 | +761 |
| 2025 | +918 |
Coffee County sits on the Highland Rim southeast of Nashville, anchored by Manchester, and has shifted from a competitive rural Democrat stronghold in the 1990s to one of Tennessee's most lopsided Republican counties, posting a 55-point margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.3 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 55.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.1 points.
A population of 59,710, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,505 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Jackson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Coffee County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.