Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.6%
154,366 votes · D+37.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
71.6%
107,733 votes · R+43.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 60.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
219,488votes
48.8% of the vote · R+1.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 217,684 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
240,504votes
51.9% of the vote · R+4.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 224,866 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+15.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +15.0 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+26.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.9 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +13.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton4125,423 votes · 4 of 4 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Clinton2Sanders288,292 votes · 4 of 4 countiesprimary
Biden490,819 votes · 4 of 4 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+1.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+4.9
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 6.1-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+76
2012
−1,752
2013
−3,263
2014
−767
2015
−840
2016
−706
2017
+1,522
2018
+680
2019
−192
2021
+8,596
2022
−365
2023
+1,866
2024
+804
2025
+1,275
Once reliably blue owing to its steel-and-manufacturing labor base, the Lehigh Valley has shifted markedly in recent cycles, with its large and growing Latino population now a closely watched variable in statewide Pennsylvania contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 873,603, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,100 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY and Reading, PA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/10900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 4.9 points (R+4.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 463,570 votes cast, 217,684 went Democratic and 240,504 went Republican.
When did Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania has a population of 873,603 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania is $85,100 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
