combined metro areaAllentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+1.7
2008D+10.5
2012D+4.1
2016R+4.3
2020R+0.01
2024R+4.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 69.6% of 788,952 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
259,691
283,180
6,224
549,095
788,952
69.6%
2020
263,548
263,592
6,298
533,438
765,164
69.7%
2016
207,734
227,413
20,839
455,986
750,726
60.7%
2012
211,435
194,435
6,530
412,400
732,468
56.3%
2008
235,889
190,683
5,793
432,365
712,300
60.7%
2004
195,620
202,294
3,619
401,533
692,132†
58.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
5 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAllentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJUnited States
German20.7%12.5%
Irish12.3%9.4%
Italian10.9%4.8%
English6.3%9.5%
American6.0%5.3%
Polish4.4%2.2%
Hungarian1.4%—
Slovak1.3%—
Puerto Rican8.9%1.8%
Dominican4.4%0.7%
Mexican1.3%11.3%
Ecuadorian0.8%—
Colombian0.7%0.4%
Peruvian0.4%—
Cuban0.4%0.7%
Guatemalan0.3%0.5%
African American†4.8%9.9%
Jamaican0.6%0.4%
Haitian0.3%0.3%
African0.3%0.5%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.2%—
Asian Indian1.1%1.4%
Chinese0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%0.6%
Pakistani0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ
United States
Median age
41.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ
United States
Median household income
$84,853
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
18.9%
22.3%
Spanish
12.7%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ
United States
Catholic
18.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
6.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
60.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
11.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+19.2%
1896
+2.6%
1900
+8.6%
1904
−4.2%
1908
+4.1%
1912
+34.5%
1916
+9.6%
1920
−17.6%
1924
−25.3%
1928
−43.6%
1932
+4.9%
1936
+17.2%
1940
+8.1%
1944
+1.9%
1948
−0.5%
1952
−11.1%
1956
−21.7%
1960
−9.4%
1964
+36.9%
1968
+1.8%
1972
−23.1%
1976
+3.9%
1980
−13.5%
1984
−18.4%
1988
−13.5%
1992
+2.3%
1996
+3.7%
2000
+0.3%
2004
−1.7%
2008
+10.5%
2012
+4.1%
2016
−4.3%
2020
−0.0%
2024
−4.3%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
47.3%Harris259,691
51.6%Trump283,180
0.6%Stein3,211 +6
R+4.3
R+4.3
R+2.8
549,095
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican51.6%283,180
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic47.3%259,691
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%3,211
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%2,430
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.1%455
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%47
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%43
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%26
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.0%12
R
49.4%Biden263,548
49.4%Trump263,592
1.2%
R+0.01
D+4.3
R+4.5
533,438
R
45.6%Clinton207,734
49.9%Trump227,413
4.6%
R+4.3
R+8.4
R+6.4
455,986
D
51.3%Obama211,435
47.1%Romney194,435
1.6%
D+4.1
R+6.3
D+0.3
412,400
D
54.6%Obama235,889
44.1%McCain190,683
1.3%
D+10.5
D+12.1
D+3.2
432,365
R
48.7%Kerry195,620
50.4%Bush202,294
0.9%
R+1.7
R+1.9
D+0.8
401,533
D
48.2%Gore158,914
47.9%Bush158,042
3.9%
D+0.3
R+3.4
R+0.3
329,953
D
45.4%Clinton133,336
41.7%Dole122,508
12.9%
D+3.7
D+1.4
R+4.8
293,707
D
39.8%Clinton124,456
37.5%Bush117,328
22.8%
D+2.3
D+15.8
R+3.3
313,022
R
42.7%Dukakis112,668
56.2%Bush148,243
1.0%
R+13.5
D+4.9
R+5.8
263,669
R
40.5%Mondale106,744
58.8%Reagan155,195
0.7%
R+18.4
R+4.8
R+0.1
263,853
R
38.0%Carter92,817
51.5%Reagan125,903
10.5%
R+13.5
R+17.5
R+3.8
244,437
D
51.0%Carter123,707
47.1%Ford114,186
1.9%
D+3.9
D+27.1
D+1.9
242,512
R
37.8%McGovern89,061
61.0%Nixon143,486
1.2%
R+23.1
R+24.9
±0.0
235,352
D
48.4%Humphrey116,989
46.6%Nixon112,657
5.0%
D+1.8
R+35.1
D+2.5
241,850
D
68.2%Johnson164,988
31.3%Goldwater75,705
0.6%
D+36.9
D+46.3
D+14.3
242,030
R
45.2%Kennedy112,435
54.6%Nixon135,739
0.2%
R+9.4
D+12.3
R+9.5
248,684
R
38.9%Stevenson87,172
60.6%Eisenhower135,687
0.5%
R+21.7
R+10.6
R+6.3
223,877
R
44.2%Stevenson97,431
55.3%Eisenhower121,796
0.5%
R+11.1
R+10.6
R+0.3
220,348
R
48.9%Truman85,358
49.4%Dewey86,208
1.6%
R+0.5
R+2.4
R+5.0
174,407
D
50.7%Roosevelt88,292
48.8%Dewey84,980
0.4%
D+1.9
R+6.2
R+5.6
174,005
D
53.8%Roosevelt96,687
45.8%Willkie82,183
0.4%
D+8.1
R+9.1
R+1.9
179,605
D
57.7%Roosevelt107,063
40.5%Landon75,181
1.8%
D+17.2
D+12.3
R+7.1
185,604
D
50.8%Roosevelt72,815
45.9%Hoover65,802
3.2%
D+4.9
D+48.5
R+12.9
143,221
R
27.9%Smith44,951
71.5%Hoover115,202
0.6%
R+43.6
R+18.2
R+26.1
161,175
R
32.1%Davis36,111
57.5%Coolidge64,589
10.4%
R+25.3
R+7.8
R+0.2
112,396
R
39.4%Cox35,593
57.0%Harding51,472
3.7%
R+17.6
R+27.1
D+8.6
90,371
D
52.6%Wilson35,741
43.0%Hughes29,231
4.4%
D+9.6
R+24.9
D+6.4
67,973
D
49.3%Wilson32,581
14.9%Taft9,808
35.8%
D+34.5
D+30.4
D+14.9
66,042
D
49.9%Bryan35,206
45.8%Taft32,294
4.3%
D+4.1
D+8.3
D+13.7
70,527
R
45.9%Parker30,005
50.1%Roosevelt32,751
4.0%
R+4.2
R+12.8
D+15.5
65,393
D
52.9%Bryan34,272
44.3%McKinley28,699
2.8%
D+8.6
D+6.0
D+16.2
64,788
D
49.5%Bryan30,910
47.0%McKinley29,313
3.5%
D+2.6
R+16.6
D+8.6
62,409
D
58.3%Cleveland31,840
39.1%Harrison21,362
2.7%
D+19.2
—
D+17.5
54,651
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+1.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+4.3
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 6.0-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ in Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−228
2012
−3,301
2013
−4,803
2014
−1,217
2015
−1,901
2016
−1,258
2017
+2,882
2018
+1,810
2019
+719
2021
+9,228
2022
−1,212
2023
+1,085
2024
+735
2025
+1,847
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.3 points.
A population of 1,041,118, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,853 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY and Albany-Schenectady, NY.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/106/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 4.3 points (R+4.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 549,095 votes cast, 259,691 went Democratic and 283,180 went Republican.
When did Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania has a population of 1,041,118 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania is $84,853 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Allentown-Bethlehem-East Stroudsburg, PA-NJ, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
