Carbon County, Pennsylvania: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+35%. Democratic peak: D+35 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 65,3822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,5542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gladwin County, MI · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carbon CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carbon County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +5.2% |
| 1896 | −11.0% |
| 1900 | −0.8% |
| 1904 | −18.0% |
| 1908 | −6.5% |
| 1912 | +26.9% |
| 1916 | −2.0% |
| 1920 | −21.5% |
| 1924 | −27.6% |
| 1928 | −30.4% |
| 1932 | −0.2% |
| 1936 | +11.2% |
| 1940 | +9.2% |
| 1944 | +5.8% |
| 1948 | −1.6% |
| 1952 | −7.4% |
| 1956 | −14.9% |
| 1960 | −0.8% |
| 1964 | +35.5% |
| 1968 | +3.2% |
| 1972 | −19.6% |
| 1976 | +9.6% |
| 1980 | −10.5% |
| 1984 | −9.5% |
| 1988 | −5.8% |
| 1992 | +8.4% |
| 1996 | +11.4% |
| 2000 | +4.5% |
| 2004 | −1.2% |
| 2008 | +1.9% |
| 2012 | −7.5% |
| 2016 | −33.8% |
| 2020 | −32.0% |
| 2024 | −34.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 11,394 | 23,708 | 35,436 | ||
| R | 11,212 | 21,984 | 33,629 | ||
| R | 8,936 | 18,743 | 28,993 | ||
| R | 11,580 | 13,504 | 25,694 | ||
| D | 13,464 | 12,957 | 26,923 | ||
| R | 12,223 | 12,519 | 25,043 | ||
| D | 10,668 | 9,717 | 21,277 | ||
| D | 9,457 | 7,193 | 19,829 | ||
| D | 9,072 | 7,243 | 21,659 | ||
| R | 9,104 | 10,232 | 19,547 | ||
| R | 8,836 | 10,701 | 19,668 | ||
| R | 8,009 | 10,042 | 19,329 | ||
| D | 10,791 | 8,883 | 19,973 | ||
| R | 7,774 | 11,639 | 19,712 | ||
| D | 10,634 | 9,954 | 21,579 | ||
| D | 15,416 | 7,309 | 22,841 | ||
| R | 12,391 | 12,586 | 25,032 | ||
| R | 9,722 | 13,150 | 22,961 | ||
| R | 10,571 | 12,283 | 22,988 | ||
| R | 9,438 | 9,744 | 19,578 | ||
| D | 11,060 | 9,837 | 20,970 | ||
| D | 12,777 | 10,618 | 23,455 | ||
| D | 14,179 | 11,298 | 25,811 | ||
| R | 9,874 | 9,918 | 20,441 | ||
| R | 8,010 | 15,047 | 23,155 | ||
| R | 5,150 | 10,236 | 18,427 | ||
| R | 5,030 | 7,900 | 13,346 | ||
| R | 4,099 | 4,275 | 8,693 | ||
| O | 3,652 | 1,246 | 8,934 | ||
| R | 3,890 | 4,486 | 9,113 | ||
| R | 2,998 | 4,505 | 8,353 | ||
| R | 4,149 | 4,222 | 8,649 | ||
| R | 3,609 | 4,534 | 8,407 | ||
| D | 3,541 | 3,179 | 6,959 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
32.4%
Irish
15.0%
Italian
8.7%
English
7.0%
Polish
6.5%
American
4.5%
French
1.1%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 46.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,554
Carbon County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Carbon County$67,554
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Carbon County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.1%
Working age (18–64)10.4%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.7%
speak English only
Spanish3.8%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carbon County's coal-mining heritage shaped decades of Democratic loyalty, but the area has swung hard in recent cycles — its R+34.8 margin in 2024 reflects one of the steepest realignments among Pennsylvania's working-class rural counties.
The Republican margin here reached thirty-five points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-five points.
A population of 65,382, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,554 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gladwin County and Jefferson County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carbon County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Pennsylvania
More farm belt counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carbon County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carbon County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 34.7 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,436 votes cast, 11,394 went Democratic and 23,708 went Republican.
What is Carbon County, Pennsylvania's political typology?
Akashic places Carbon County, Pennsylvania in the "Farm Belt" typology — Rural Plains and Midwest farm counties — Republican, with modest recent movement. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 22 times, and other 1 times.
When did Carbon County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carbon County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Carbon County, Pennsylvania?
Carbon County, Pennsylvania has a population of 65,382 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carbon County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Carbon County, Pennsylvania is $67,554 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Carbon County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carbon County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The county's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.