† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHot Springs, ARArkansasUnited States
English13.7%12.3%9.5%
Irish12.5%8.9%9.4%
German11.2%9.2%12.5%
American6.2%7.5%5.3%
Italian2.2%1.4%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.8%1.3%
French1.5%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.3%0.6%—
African American†6.8%13.5%9.9%
African0.7%0.9%0.5%
Mexican5.8%6.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.6%0.9%0.7%
Honduran0.2%0.2%0.3%
Spaniard0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hot Springs, AR
Arkansas
United States
Median age
45.5
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
7.0%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
24.7%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hot Springs, AR
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$57,181
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.8%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.3%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hot Springs, AR
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.0%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
5.0%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hot Springs, AR
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
5.2%
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
32.5%
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
48.9%
42.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
8.0%
5.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hot Springs, AR
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+20.4%
1896
+34.0%
1900
+14.0%
1904
−3.0%
1908
+9.1%
1912
+36.8%
1916
+22.7%
1920
+21.2%
1924
+15.4%
1928
+1.9%
1932
+67.2%
1936
+41.0%
1940
+40.0%
1944
+26.9%
1948
+20.7%
1952
−20.5%
1956
−26.5%
1960
−6.2%
1964
+7.6%
1968
−10.0%
1972
−49.2%
1976
+20.3%
1980
−10.8%
1984
−28.7%
1988
−24.9%
1992
+16.5%
1996
+15.3%
2000
−9.1%
2004
−9.2%
2008
−25.0%
2012
−30.0%
2016
−35.0%
2020
−34.0%
2024
−36.3%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
30.7%Harris13,015
67.0%Trump28,359
2.3%
R+36.3
R+2.3
R+34.8
42,327
R
31.8%Biden14,045
65.8%Trump29,069
2.5%
R+34.0
D+1.0
R+38.4
44,199
R
31.3%Clinton12,311
66.2%Trump26,087
2.5%
R+35.0
R+5.0
R+37.1
39,387
R
33.9%Obama13,804
63.9%Romney26,014
2.2%
R+30.0
R+5.0
R+33.8
40,728
R
36.4%Obama15,899
61.4%McCain26,825
2.3%
R+25.0
R+15.8
R+32.3
43,719
R
44.9%Kerry18,040
54.1%Bush21,734
0.9%
R+9.2
R+0.1
R+6.7
40,154
R
44.1%Gore15,840
53.1%Bush19,098
2.8%
R+9.1
R+24.4
R+9.6
35,935
D
53.1%Clinton19,211
37.7%Dole13,662
9.2%
D+15.3
R+1.1
D+6.8
36,206
D
52.3%Clinton18,811
35.8%Bush12,886
11.9%
D+16.5
D+41.3
D+10.9
35,995
R
36.0%Dukakis11,406
60.9%Bush19,281
3.0%
R+24.9
D+3.8
R+17.2
31,642
R
33.8%Mondale11,484
62.5%Reagan21,213
3.7%
R+28.7
R+17.8
R+10.4
33,958
R
42.1%Carter12,515
53.0%Reagan15,739
4.9%
R+10.8
R+31.2
R+1.1
29,717
D
60.0%Carter15,707
39.7%Ford10,394
0.3%
D+20.3
D+69.5
D+18.2
26,170
R
24.7%McGovern5,207
73.9%Nixon15,602
1.4%
R+49.2
R+39.3
R+26.1
21,112
R
27.9%Humphrey5,655
37.8%Nixon7,674
34.3%
R+10.0
R+17.5
R+9.3
20,284
D
53.6%Johnson11,591
46.0%Goldwater9,952
0.4%
D+7.6
D+13.8
R+15.0
21,629
R
45.4%Kennedy6,333
51.7%Nixon7,204
2.9%
R+6.2
D+20.2
R+6.4
13,944
R
36.1%Stevenson5,437
62.5%Eisenhower9,427
1.4%
R+26.5
R+5.9
R+11.1
15,076
R
39.5%Stevenson5,165
60.1%Eisenhower7,848
0.4%
R+20.5
R+41.2
R+9.8
13,065
D
52.6%Truman3,764
32.0%Dewey2,286
15.4%
D+20.7
R+6.3
D+16.2
7,154
D
63.4%Roosevelt3,596
36.5%Dewey2,069
0.1%
D+26.9
R+13.1
D+19.4
5,669
D
69.9%Roosevelt3,335
29.8%Willkie1,424
0.3%
D+40.0
R+0.9
D+30.1
4,772
D
70.1%Roosevelt2,931
29.1%Landon1,217
0.8%
D+41.0
R+26.2
D+16.7
4,183
D
83.6%Roosevelt4,252
16.4%Hoover833
0.0%
D+67.2
D+65.4
D+49.4
5,086
D
50.8%Smith2,823
48.9%Hoover2,720
0.3%
D+1.9
R+13.6
D+19.3
5,558
D
52.9%Davis1,501
37.5%Coolidge1,064
9.6%
D+15.4
R+5.8
D+40.6
2,837
D
57.6%Cox1,670
36.4%Harding1,055
6.1%
D+21.2
R+1.5
D+47.4
2,901
D
61.4%Wilson1,678
38.6%Hughes1,057
0.0%
D+22.7
R+14.1
D+19.6
2,735
D
51.6%Wilson1,046
14.8%Taft300
33.6%
D+36.8
D+27.7
D+17.3
2,027
D
52.0%Bryan1,340
42.9%Taft1,105
5.0%
D+9.1
D+12.1
D+18.7
2,575
R
47.9%Parker804
50.9%Roosevelt854
1.1%
R+3.0
R+16.9
D+16.7
1,677
D
56.6%Bryan940
42.6%McKinley708
0.8%
D+14.0
R+20.0
D+21.5
1,661
D
65.3%Bryan1,465
31.3%McKinley703
3.4%
D+34.0
D+13.6
D+40.0
2,244
D
57.5%Cleveland1,456
37.1%Harrison940
5.4%
D+20.4
—
D+18.7
2,534
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
27.8%9,162
68.6%22,606
32,954
2020
R
0.0%0
69.5%30,420
43,756
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hot Springs, AR
Year
Total registered
2018
65,899
2020
66,198
2022
65,049
2024
63,951
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+380 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +8,154 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Hot Springs, AR in Hot Springs, AR: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+980
2012
+428
2013
+965
2014
+349
2015
+319
2016
+693
2017
+366
2018
+971
2019
+726
2021
+705
2022
+379
2023
+338
2024
+555
2025
+380
Hot Springs anchors a small metro where tourism history and a disproportionately older population shape turnout patterns, contributing to the low-density, high-Republican-margin profile typical of Arkansas's non-delta interior counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 100,035, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,181 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Malvern, AR and Jonesboro, AR.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/26300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
In 2024, Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,327 votes cast, 13,015 went Democratic and 28,359 went Republican.
When did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas has a population of 100,035 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas is $57,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
