Hot Springs, AR · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain, and this place is a single county: Garland County, Arkansas. The figures below are that county’s, which is the same territory — not a larger unit standing in for it.
Presidential nominating contests in Hot Springs, AR, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hot Springs, AR
Year
Total registered
2018
65,899
2020
66,198
2022
65,049
2024
63,951
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+380 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +8,154 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Hot Springs, AR in Hot Springs, AR: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+980
2012
+428
2013
+965
2014
+349
2015
+319
2016
+693
2017
+366
2018
+971
2019
+726
2021
+705
2022
+379
2023
+338
2024
+555
2025
+380
Hot Springs anchors a small metro where tourism history and a disproportionately older population shape turnout patterns, contributing to the low-density, high-Republican-margin profile typical of Arkansas's non-delta interior counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 100,035, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,181 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Malvern, AR and Jonesboro, AR.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/26300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.3 points (R+36.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,327 votes cast, 13,015 went Democratic and 28,359 went Republican.
When did Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas has a population of 100,035 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas is $57,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hot Springs, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
