† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHot Springs-Malvern, ARArkansasUnited States
English13.2%12.3%9.5%
Irish10.9%8.9%9.4%
German10.3%9.2%12.5%
American7.0%7.5%5.3%
Scottish1.9%1.8%1.3%
Italian1.7%1.4%4.8%
French1.4%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.2%0.6%—
African American†7.8%13.5%9.9%
African0.5%0.9%0.5%
Mexican5.2%6.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.5%0.9%0.7%
Honduran0.2%0.2%0.3%
Spaniard0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
Arkansas
United States
Median age
44.9
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
7.2%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.6%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$56,739
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.6%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.4%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
6.1%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
4.4%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
4.0%
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
32.9%
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
49.0%
42.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.1%
5.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+31.8%
1896
+46.3%
1900
+20.0%
1904
+0.6%
1908
+9.2%
1912
+36.1%
1916
+29.2%
1920
+15.6%
1924
+20.1%
1928
−0.3%
1932
+72.5%
1936
+45.9%
1940
+45.2%
1944
+28.4%
1948
+28.8%
1952
−5.7%
1956
−15.7%
1960
+4.3%
1964
+11.2%
1968
−5.9%
1972
−43.8%
1976
+30.2%
1980
+0.3%
1984
−20.9%
1988
−17.0%
1992
+19.7%
1996
+18.7%
2000
−5.9%
2004
−7.2%
2008
−24.9%
2012
−29.8%
2016
−36.9%
2020
−37.3%
2024
−39.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.0%Harris15,833
68.8%Trump37,585
2.2%
R+39.8
R+2.6
R+38.4
54,610
R
30.2%Biden17,127
67.4%Trump38,271
2.4%
R+37.3
R+0.4
R+41.7
56,756
R
30.3%Clinton15,460
67.2%Trump34,259
2.4%
R+36.9
R+7.1
R+39.0
50,947
R
33.9%Obama17,634
63.7%Romney33,111
2.4%
R+29.8
R+4.9
R+33.6
51,988
R
36.3%Obama20,187
61.1%McCain34,034
2.6%
R+24.9
R+17.7
R+32.1
55,674
R
45.8%Kerry23,941
53.0%Bush27,694
1.1%
R+7.2
R+1.3
R+4.7
52,219
R
45.5%Gore21,367
51.5%Bush24,140
3.0%
R+5.9
R+24.6
R+6.4
46,916
D
54.4%Clinton25,213
35.6%Dole16,526
10.0%
D+18.7
R+1.0
D+10.2
46,361
D
53.9%Clinton25,119
34.2%Bush15,922
11.9%
D+19.7
D+36.7
D+14.2
46,611
R
40.2%Dukakis16,496
57.2%Bush23,462
2.7%
R+17.0
D+4.0
R+9.2
41,047
R
38.1%Mondale17,320
59.0%Reagan26,842
2.9%
R+20.9
R+21.2
R+2.7
45,504
D
47.9%Carter19,412
47.6%Reagan19,300
4.5%
D+0.3
R+30.0
D+10.0
40,534
D
65.0%Carter23,516
34.8%Ford12,581
0.2%
D+30.2
D+74.0
D+28.2
36,166
R
27.4%McGovern8,079
71.3%Nixon20,980
1.3%
R+43.8
R+37.9
R+20.7
29,445
O
27.5%Humphrey7,792
33.4%Nixon9,454
39.1%
Wallace +5.8
R+17.1
R+5.2
28,340
D
55.3%Johnson16,134
44.1%Goldwater12,863
0.5%
D+11.2
D+6.9
R+11.4
29,151
D
49.4%Kennedy9,787
45.1%Nixon8,936
5.4%
D+4.3
D+20.0
D+4.1
19,798
R
41.5%Stevenson8,962
57.2%Eisenhower12,350
1.2%
R+15.7
R+10.0
R+0.3
21,578
R
47.0%Stevenson8,639
52.7%Eisenhower9,690
0.4%
R+5.7
R+34.5
D+5.0
18,396
D
57.4%Truman5,696
28.6%Dewey2,841
13.9%
D+28.8
D+0.4
D+24.3
9,918
D
64.1%Roosevelt5,242
35.7%Dewey2,922
0.2%
D+28.4
R+16.8
D+20.9
8,179
D
72.5%Roosevelt5,065
27.3%Willkie1,906
0.3%
D+45.2
R+0.7
D+35.3
6,989
D
72.6%Roosevelt4,512
26.7%Landon1,661
0.7%
D+45.9
R+26.7
D+21.6
6,216
D
86.1%Roosevelt6,794
13.6%Hoover1,070
0.4%
D+72.5
D+72.8
D+54.7
7,892
R
49.7%Smith3,822
50.0%Hoover3,846
0.3%
R+0.3
R+20.4
D+17.2
7,688
D
54.9%Davis2,294
34.9%Coolidge1,456
10.2%
D+20.1
D+4.5
D+45.2
4,177
D
55.5%Cox2,731
39.9%Harding1,965
4.6%
D+15.6
R+13.7
D+41.7
4,925
D
64.6%Wilson3,107
35.4%Hughes1,702
0.0%
D+29.2
R+6.9
D+26.1
4,809
D
53.0%Wilson1,714
17.0%Taft548
30.0%
D+36.1
D+26.9
D+16.5
3,232
D
52.5%Bryan2,173
43.3%Taft1,791
4.3%
D+9.2
D+8.6
D+18.8
4,141
D
49.4%Parker1,409
48.8%Roosevelt1,391
1.8%
D+0.6
R+19.4
D+20.3
2,852
D
59.6%Bryan1,703
39.6%McKinley1,131
0.9%
D+20.0
R+26.3
D+27.6
2,859
D
71.9%Bryan2,796
25.6%McKinley995
2.5%
D+46.3
D+14.5
D+52.4
3,888
D
62.4%Cleveland2,481
30.6%Harrison1,217
7.0%
D+31.8
—
D+30.1
3,975
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
26.4%11,301
70.0%29,966
42,820
2020
R
0.0%0
70.9%39,808
56,137
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR
Year
Total registered
2018
84,103
2020
84,407
2022
83,585
2024
82,469
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+741 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,413 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+856
2012
+823
2013
+1,011
2014
+317
2015
+453
2016
+678
2017
+588
2018
+1,095
2019
+845
2021
+937
2022
+660
2023
+595
2024
+814
2025
+741
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.8 points.
A population of 133,215, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,739 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jonesboro-Paragould, AR and Union City-Martin, TN.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/284/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 39.8 points (R+39.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,610 votes cast, 15,833 went Democratic and 37,585 went Republican.
When did Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas?
Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas has a population of 133,215 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas is $56,739 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hot Springs-Malvern, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
