metro areaNashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+12.8
2008R+10.5
2012R+16.4
2016R+16.3
2020R+10.8
2024R+17.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 62.3% of 1,501,716 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
378,720
542,365
14,505
935,590
1,501,716
62.3%
2020
401,381
500,933
20,990
923,304
1,403,167
65.8%
2016
281,062
398,113
40,171
719,346
1,292,737
55.6%
2012
278,481
389,779
11,187
679,447
1,198,827
56.7%
2008
314,069
388,882
9,005
711,956
1,144,994
62.2%
2004
275,021
356,687
4,040
635,748
1,091,161†
58.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
14 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TNTennesseeUnited States
English13.7%13.3%9.5%
American10.5%11.3%5.3%
German9.7%9.1%12.5%
Irish8.9%9.3%9.4%
Italian2.7%2.2%4.8%
Scottish2.3%2.2%1.3%
French1.6%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.6%1.7%—
African American†12.0%14.3%9.9%
African0.8%0.6%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Mexican5.0%3.8%11.3%
Honduran0.9%0.5%0.3%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.6%1.8%
Guatemalan0.7%0.6%0.5%
Salvadoran0.5%0.2%0.7%
Cuban0.4%0.2%0.7%
Venezuelan0.3%0.2%—
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian0.9%0.5%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.2%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Laotian0.3%——
Vietnamese0.2%0.2%0.6%
Burmese0.2%——
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median age
37.1
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.1%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$88,637
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.4%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
41.0%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.9%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
7.4%
5.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.1%
0.7%
2.0%
Arabic
1.1%
0.5%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
6.1%
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
30.5%
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
48.5%
44.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
6.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+34.6%
1896
+26.3%
1900
+32.5%
1904
+38.0%
1908
+37.4%
1912
+46.7%
1916
+41.2%
1920
+24.3%
1924
+44.7%
1928
+9.1%
1932
+59.5%
1936
+66.9%
1940
+56.6%
1944
+49.2%
1948
+41.6%
1952
+25.7%
1956
+29.4%
1960
+13.0%
1964
+32.6%
1968
+0.7%
1972
−27.7%
1976
+27.1%
1980
+17.6%
1984
−11.4%
1988
−12.7%
1992
+10.3%
1996
+6.1%
2000
+1.6%
2004
−12.8%
2008
−10.5%
2012
−16.4%
2016
−16.3%
2020
−10.8%
2024
−17.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
40.5%Harris378,720
58.0%Trump542,365
0.8%Kennedy7,735 +4
R+17.5
R+6.7
R+16.0
935,590
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican58.0%542,365
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic40.5%378,720
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.8%7,735
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%3,354
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.2%1,781
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%1,320
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%315
R
43.5%Biden401,381
54.3%Trump500,933
2.3%
R+10.8
D+5.5
R+15.2
923,304
R
39.1%Clinton281,062
55.3%Trump398,113
5.6%
R+16.3
D+0.1
R+18.4
719,346
R
41.0%Obama278,481
57.4%Romney389,779
1.6%
R+16.4
R+5.9
R+20.2
679,447
R
44.1%Obama314,069
54.6%McCain388,882
1.3%
R+10.5
D+2.3
R+17.8
711,956
R
43.3%Kerry275,021
56.1%Bush356,687
0.6%
R+12.8
R+14.5
R+10.4
635,748
D
50.0%Gore257,907
48.3%Bush249,423
1.7%
D+1.6
R+4.5
D+1.1
516,073
D
49.8%Clinton226,786
43.7%Dole198,876
6.4%
D+6.1
R+4.2
R+2.4
454,970
D
49.2%Clinton221,469
38.9%Bush174,973
11.9%
D+10.3
D+23.1
D+4.8
449,788
R
43.4%Dukakis159,423
56.1%Bush206,188
0.6%
R+12.7
R+1.4
R+5.0
367,654
R
44.0%Mondale160,469
55.3%Reagan201,884
0.7%
R+11.4
R+29.0
D+6.9
364,810
D
57.3%Carter191,769
39.6%Reagan132,732
3.1%
D+17.6
R+9.4
D+27.4
334,777
D
63.0%Carter186,641
35.9%Ford106,387
1.1%
D+27.1
D+54.8
D+25.0
296,379
R
34.7%McGovern79,931
62.4%Nixon143,708
2.8%
R+27.7
R+28.4
R+4.6
230,124
O
29.8%Humphrey71,975
29.1%Nixon70,250
41.1%
Wallace +11.3
R+31.9
D+1.4
241,476
D
66.3%Johnson141,102
33.7%Goldwater71,660
0.0%
D+32.6
D+19.6
D+10.1
212,762
D
56.1%Kennedy106,593
43.1%Nixon81,853
0.9%
D+13.0
R+16.4
D+12.9
190,078
D
64.2%Stevenson106,834
34.8%Eisenhower57,915
1.0%
D+29.4
D+3.7
D+44.8
166,362
D
62.7%Stevenson101,174
37.0%Eisenhower59,736
0.2%
D+25.7
R+15.9
D+36.4
161,309
D
61.7%Truman52,225
20.1%Dewey17,037
18.2%
D+41.6
R+7.6
D+37.1
84,668
D
74.4%Roosevelt59,971
25.3%Dewey20,357
0.3%
D+49.2
R+7.4
D+41.7
80,556
D
78.2%Roosevelt62,484
21.6%Willkie17,275
0.2%
D+56.6
R+10.4
D+46.6
79,941
D
83.2%Roosevelt55,169
16.3%Landon10,805
0.5%
D+66.9
D+7.5
D+42.7
66,289
D
79.2%Roosevelt50,857
19.8%Hoover12,683
1.0%
D+59.5
D+50.4
D+41.7
64,198
D
54.5%Smith32,990
45.4%Hoover27,491
0.1%
D+9.1
R+35.6
D+26.5
60,559
D
70.2%Davis31,538
25.6%Coolidge11,474
4.2%
D+44.7
D+20.4
D+69.9
44,898
D
61.9%Cox41,004
37.6%Harding24,909
0.4%
D+24.3
R+16.9
D+50.5
66,192
D
70.1%Wilson32,733
28.9%Hughes13,477
1.0%
D+41.2
R+5.4
D+38.1
46,685
D
68.9%Wilson32,977
22.3%Taft10,662
8.8%
D+46.7
D+9.2
D+27.1
47,828
D
68.1%Bryan29,990
30.7%Taft13,512
1.2%
D+37.4
R+0.6
D+47.0
44,024
D
67.6%Parker28,736
29.6%Roosevelt12,595
2.7%
D+38.0
D+5.5
D+57.7
42,483
D
65.1%Bryan31,546
32.7%McKinley15,828
2.2%
D+32.5
D+6.1
D+40.0
48,424
D
62.2%Bryan37,625
35.9%McKinley21,714
1.8%
D+26.3
R+8.3
D+32.4
60,455
D
60.6%Cleveland29,712
26.0%Harrison12,760
13.4%
D+34.6
—
D+32.9
49,024
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
40.5%373,094
57.4%528,766
921,137
2020
R
40.5%364,161
56.5%507,819
899,389
2018
D
50.5%343,925
48.5%330,642
681,692
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
1,119,033
2018
1,162,507
2020
1,303,630
2022
1,356,202
2024
1,460,956
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+16,967 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +240,721 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+9,654
2012
+15,406
2013
+16,899
2014
+19,225
2015
+20,970
2016
+23,566
2017
+19,862
2018
+16,210
2019
+15,689
2021
+7,774
2022
+27,120
2023
+16,936
2024
+14,443
2025
+16,967
Nashville's metro has absorbed hundreds of thousands of new residents since 2010, compressing Republican margins in Davidson County's suburbs even as the city core votes reliably Democratic by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 27.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.5 points.
A population of 2,079,596, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,637 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kansas City, MO-KS and Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/34980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 17.5 points (R+17.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 935,590 votes cast, 378,720 went Democratic and 542,365 went Republican.
When did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee has a population of 2,079,596 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee is $88,637 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.
