Smith County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 9,336 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -03 New Middleton03 New Middleton | 225 | 1,134 | 15 | 1,374 | 16.4% | 82.5% | R+66.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -05 Gordonsville05 Gordonsville | 181 | 1,118 | 10 | 1,309 | 13.8% | 85.4% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -01 Defeated01 Defeated | 174 | 1,009 | 9 | 1,192 | 14.6% | 84.6% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -07 South Carthage07 South Carthage | 191 | 970 | 7 | 1,168 | 16.4% | 83.0% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -08 Elmwood08 Elmwood | 203 | 940 | 15 | 1,158 | 17.5% | 81.2% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -02 Tanglewood02 Tanglewood | 238 | 893 | 11 | 1,142 | 20.8% | 78.2% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -04 Rock City04 Rock City | 163 | 944 | 9 | 1,116 | 14.6% | 84.6% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -06 Carthage06 Carthage | 220 | 647 | 10 | 877 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +24.9% |
| 1896 | +38.5% |
| 1900 | +25.9% |
| 1904 | +17.1% |
| 1908 | +21.0% |
| 1912 | +32.0% |
| 1916 | +40.0% |
| 1920 | +22.8% |
| 1924 | +41.2% |
| 1928 | +11.3% |
| 1932 | +54.8% |
| 1936 | +53.8% |
| 1940 | +54.9% |
| 1944 | +40.6% |
| 1948 | +35.0% |
| 1952 | +29.8% |
| 1956 | +39.8% |
| 1960 | +20.0% |
| 1964 | +46.0% |
| 1968 | +8.1% |
| 1972 | −17.3% |
| 1976 | +47.1% |
| 1980 | +34.7% |
| 1984 | +15.2% |
| 1988 | +8.2% |
| 1992 | +50.8% |
| 1996 | +32.3% |
| 2000 | +34.0% |
| 2004 | +3.9% |
| 2008 | −20.3% |
| 2012 | −28.6% |
| 2016 | −51.2% |
| 2020 | −58.9% |
| 2024 | −64.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,006 |
| 2018 | 11,830 |
| 2020 | 12,487 |
| 2022 | 12,880 |
| 2024 | 13,543 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+227 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,134 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,052 in average income, against $71,153 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.9 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Smith County, TN itself (R+64.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wilson County, TN151R+40.1
- Davidson County, TN47D+27.4
- Putnam County, TN40R+47.4
- Rutherford County, TN30R+21.8
- DeKalb County, TN23R+62.7
- Trousdale County, TN20R+58.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wilson County, TN137
- DeKalb County, TN44
- Putnam County, TN39
- Macon County, TN33
- Davidson County, TN25
- Rutherford County, TN24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +94 |
| 2012 | −18 |
| 2013 | −69 |
| 2014 | −54 |
| 2015 | +202 |
| 2016 | +180 |
| 2017 | +145 |
| 2018 | +254 |
| 2019 | +190 |
| 2021 | +271 |
| 2022 | +327 |
| 2023 | +117 |
| 2024 | +268 |
| 2025 | +227 |
Smith County's R+64.9 margin in 2024 places it among the state's most one-sided presidential results, reflecting a rural Upper Cumberland population that has shifted decisively away from competitive two-party contests over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 64.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.9 points.
A population of 20,389, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,293 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Overton County and Cannon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Smith County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.