Smith County, Tennessee: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+65%. Republican peak: R+65 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 20,3892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,2932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Overton County, TN · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +24.9% |
| 1896 | +38.5% |
| 1900 | +25.9% |
| 1904 | +17.1% |
| 1908 | +21.0% |
| 1912 | +32.0% |
| 1916 | +40.0% |
| 1920 | +22.8% |
| 1924 | +41.2% |
| 1928 | +11.3% |
| 1932 | +54.8% |
| 1936 | +53.8% |
| 1940 | +54.9% |
| 1944 | +40.6% |
| 1948 | +35.0% |
| 1952 | +29.8% |
| 1956 | +39.8% |
| 1960 | +20.0% |
| 1964 | +46.0% |
| 1968 | +8.1% |
| 1972 | −17.3% |
| 1976 | +47.1% |
| 1980 | +34.7% |
| 1984 | +15.2% |
| 1988 | +8.2% |
| 1992 | +50.8% |
| 1996 | +32.3% |
| 2000 | +34.0% |
| 2004 | +3.9% |
| 2008 | −20.3% |
| 2012 | −28.6% |
| 2016 | −51.2% |
| 2020 | −58.9% |
| 2024 | −64.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,595 | 7,655 | 9,366 | ||
| R | 1,802 | 7,136 | 9,051 | ||
| R | 1,689 | 5,494 | 7,436 | ||
| R | 2,470 | 4,495 | 7,089 | ||
| R | 2,992 | 4,563 | 7,741 | ||
| D | 4,044 | 3,739 | 7,828 | ||
| D | 4,884 | 2,384 | 7,348 | ||
| D | 3,812 | 1,857 | 6,057 | ||
| D | 5,061 | 1,482 | 7,044 | ||
| D | 2,522 | 2,138 | 4,686 | ||
| D | 3,258 | 2,393 | 5,691 | ||
| D | 3,674 | 1,755 | 5,531 | ||
| D | 3,753 | 1,332 | 5,136 | ||
| R | 1,260 | 1,812 | 3,188 | ||
| O | 1,443 | 1,089 | 4,363 | ||
| D | 2,934 | 1,084 | 4,018 | ||
| D | 2,411 | 1,601 | 4,060 | ||
| D | 2,949 | 1,267 | 4,229 | ||
| D | 2,622 | 1,412 | 4,058 | ||
| D | 1,764 | 773 | 2,828 | ||
| D | 2,107 | 887 | 3,006 | ||
| D | 2,244 | 648 | 2,906 | ||
| D | 2,092 | 626 | 2,726 | ||
| D | 2,057 | 595 | 2,668 | ||
| D | 1,446 | 1,150 | 2,617 | ||
| D | 1,701 | 700 | 2,429 | ||
| D | 3,150 | 1,981 | 5,131 | ||
| D | 2,196 | 941 | 3,139 | ||
| D | 1,863 | 915 | 2,962 | ||
| D | 1,638 | 1,056 | 2,770 | ||
| D | 1,562 | 1,080 | 2,822 | ||
| D | 1,940 | 1,118 | 3,172 | ||
| D | 2,414 | 1,064 | 3,504 | ||
| D | 1,598 | 847 | 3,015 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Smith County's R+64.9 margin in 2024 places it among the state's most one-sided presidential results, reflecting a rural Upper Cumberland population that has shifted decisively away from competitive two-party contests over the past two decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at fifty-five points in 1940 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2008 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by twenty points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-five points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $66,293 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 10% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Overton County and DeKalb County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Smith County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
