HarrisDemocratic28.5%27,874TrumpRepublican70.3%68,767KennedyIndependent0.7%657
R+41.8- Lead
- 40,893
- Total
- 97,761
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- 64.4%
Akashiccounty
Sumner County, TN
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.4% of 153,004 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic29.9%27,680TrumpRepublican68.5%63,454JorgensenLibertarian1.0%940
R+38.6- Lead
- 35,774
- Total
- 92,630
- vs nation
- R+43.1
- Turnout
- 66.7%
ClintonDemocratic25.4%18,161TrumpRepublican70.1%50,129JohnsonLibertarian2.9%2,102
R+44.7- Lead
- 31,968
- Total
- 71,505
- vs nation
- R+46.8
- Turnout
- 56.6%
ObamaDemocratic28.4%18,579RomneyRepublican70.3%46,003OtherAll other candidates1.3%875
R+41.9- Lead
- 27,424
- Total
- 65,457
- vs nation
- R+45.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.0%21,487McCainRepublican66.9%44,949OtherAll other candidates1.2%792
R+34.9- Lead
- 23,462
- Total
- 67,228
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.6%21,458BushRepublican64.8%40,181OtherAll other candidates0.5%329
R+30.2- Lead
- 18,723
- Total
- 61,968
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.8%22,118BushRepublican54.7%27,601NaderGreen1.0%482
R+10.9- Lead
- 5,483
- Total
- 50,477
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.5%19,205DoleRepublican48.3%20,863PerotReform6.4%2,783
R+3.8- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 43,154
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 204,4242024 5-year
- Population density
- 386 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 530 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,3012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wilson County, TN · twin score 94.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 64.4%98,508 participants ÷ 153,004 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +30.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 33.6%–45.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98,508 | 153,004 ± 768 | 64.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 52,895 | 147,303 ± 738 | 35.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 93,159 | 139,687 ± 782 | 66.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 66,016 | 132,920 ± 787 | 49.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 72,251 | 127,584 ± 571 | 56.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 65,457 | 118,091 | 55.4% | Derived | — | |
| 67,228 | 110,497 | 60.8% | Derived | — | |
| 61,968 | 102,903 extrapolated | 60.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 29 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 97,761 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -2401 Long Hollow Baptist2401 Long Hollow Baptist | 1,726 | 4,157 | 72 | 5,955 | 29.0% | 69.8% | R+40.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -1001 Vol State College1001 Vol State College | 1,405 | 4,013 | 69 | 5,487 | 25.6% | 73.1% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -2101 Indian Lake Elementary School2101 Indian Lake Elementary School | 1,534 | 3,468 | 63 | 5,065 | 30.3% | 68.5% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -901 Gallatin Sr High901 Gallatin Sr High | 1,423 | 3,173 | 52 | 4,648 | 30.6% | 68.3% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -1101 Station Camp Middle School1101 Station Camp Middle School | 1,404 | 3,115 | 48 | 4,567 | 30.7% | 68.2% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -601 Creekside Fellowship601 Creekside Fellowship | 943 | 3,542 | 43 | 4,528 | 20.8% | 78.2% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -1501 White House Middle School1501 White House Middle School | 1,002 | 3,460 | 45 | 4,507 | 22.2% | 76.8% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -2201 Jack Anderson Elementary School2201 Jack Anderson Elementary School | 1,475 | 2,596 | 49 | 4,120 | 35.8% | 63.0% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -1701 Church of the Nazarene1701 Church of the Nazarene | 1,442 | 2,624 | 52 | 4,118 | 35.0% | 63.7% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -2001 Hawkins Middle School2001 Hawkins Middle School | 1,372 | 2,676 | 47 | 4,095 | 33.5% | 65.3% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -1601 Millersville Community Center1601 Millersville Community Center | 1,210 | 2,257 | 47 | 3,514 | 34.4% | 64.2% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -1301 Union Elementary School1301 Union Elementary School | 1,393 | 2,023 | 61 | 3,477 | 40.1% | 58.2% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -701 Gallatin Civic Center701 Gallatin Civic Center | 1,017 | 2,353 | 37 | 3,407 | 29.9% | 69.1% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -101 Westmoreland Middle101 Westmoreland Middle | 497 | 2,866 | 32 | 3,395 | 14.6% | 84.4% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -1901 Brown Elementary1901 Brown Elementary | 1,324 | 1,918 | 47 | 3,289 | 40.3% | 58.3% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -201 Corinth Church of Christ201 Corinth Church of Christ | 631 | 2,598 | 33 | 3,262 | 19.3% | 79.6% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -301 Portland High School301 Portland High School | 686 | 2,281 | 38 | 3,005 | 22.8% | 75.9% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -1801 Merrol Hyde Magnet School1801 Merrol Hyde Magnet School | 1,077 | 1,873 | 40 | 2,990 | 36.0% | 62.6% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -1202 Station Camp High School1202 Station Camp High School | 841 | 2,028 | 30 | 2,899 | 29.0% | 70.0% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -401 Oakmont Elementary School401 Oakmont Elementary School | 381 | 2,029 | 16 | 2,426 | 15.7% | 83.6% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -1402 Birdwell Chapel Church of Christ1402 Birdwell Chapel Church of Christ | 440 | 1,915 | 28 | 2,383 | 18.5% | 80.4% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -1201 Howard Elementary School1201 Howard Elementary School | 856 | 1,470 | 15 | 2,341 | 36.6% | 62.8% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -801 Guild Elementary School801 Guild Elementary School | 931 | 1,365 | 29 | 2,325 | 40.0% | 58.7% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -1401 Beech Elementary School1401 Beech Elementary School | 473 | 1,766 | 23 | 2,262 | 20.9% | 78.1% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -402 Cottontown Fire Hall402 Cottontown Fire Hall | 514 | 1,689 | 24 | 2,227 | 23.1% | 75.8% | R+52.8 |
| Precinct -2301 Whitten Elementary School2301 Whitten Elementary School | 651 | 1,288 | 24 | 1,963 | 33.2% | 65.6% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -502 Highland S.D. Adventist Church502 Highland S.D. Adventist Church | 343 | 1,597 | 19 | 1,959 | 17.5% | 81.5% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -2302 Hendersonville High School2302 Hendersonville High School | 630 | 1,293 | 28 | 1,951 | 32.3% | 66.3% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -501 Bethpage Elementary School501 Bethpage Elementary School | 253 | 1,334 | 9 | 1,596 | 15.9% | 83.6% | R+67.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Sumner County, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
90.5%
3,893 votes · D+81.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 85.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
70.3%
68,767 votes · R+41.8
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 70.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,874votes
28.5% of the vote · R+41.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 27,680 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68,767votes
70.3% of the vote · R+41.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 63,454 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+95.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +75.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+46.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +45.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RFerrell HaileState Senate · 18
RWilliam SlaterState House · 35
RWilliam LamberthState House · 44
RJohnny GarrettState House · 45
Seats representing Sumner County, TN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.9%25,235 | 72.1%65,313 | 90,548 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 109,504 |
| 2018 | 109,371 |
| 2020 | 123,782 |
| 2022 | 130,352 |
| 2024 | 140,390 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,806 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +39,238 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,991 in average income, against $106,313 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.4 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than Sumner County, TN itself (R+41.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Davidson County, TN1,979D+27.4
- Robertson County, TN516R+50.8
- Wilson County, TN391R+40.1
- Rutherford County, TN243R+21.8
- Williamson County, TN155R+32.4
- Montgomery County, TN144R+18.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Davidson County, TN1,291
- Robertson County, TN612
- Wilson County, TN328
- Rutherford County, TN237
- Montgomery County, TN189
- Macon County, TN181
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,811 |
| 2012 | +1,535 |
| 2013 | +2,155 |
| 2014 | +2,692 |
| 2015 | +2,258 |
| 2016 | +3,344 |
| 2017 | +3,856 |
| 2018 | +3,081 |
| 2019 | +3,175 |
| 2021 | +3,166 |
| 2022 | +3,022 |
| 2023 | +3,755 |
| 2024 | +2,582 |
| 2025 | +2,806 |
Sumner County's population has surged with Nashville-area spillover growth, and its presidential margins have widened alongside that influx — reaching R+41.8 in 2024, among the steeper shifts in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 44.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.8 points.
A population of 204,424, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,301 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilson County and Limestone County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wilson County
Tennessee
94.8twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectorymedian income
Limestone County
Alabama
89.7twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectorymedian income
Washington County
Tennessee
83.4twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectorypopulation scale≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sumner County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47165/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sumner County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sumner County, Tennessee voted Republican by 41.8 points (R+41.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 97,761 votes cast, 27,874 went Democratic and 68,767 went Republican.
When did Sumner County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sumner County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Sumner County, Tennessee?
Sumner County, Tennessee has a population of 204,424 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sumner County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Sumner County, Tennessee is $90,301 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Sumner County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sumner County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.