congressional districtFlorida 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+17.7
2008R+6.6
2012R+8.5
2016R+10.5
2020R+6.7
2024R+11.8
net swing · 2004→2024D+6.0R+17.7 → R+11.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+10.3R+11.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.2% of 593,444 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
173,072
220,106
5,559
398,737
593,444
67.2%
2020
184,061
210,854
5,887
400,802
548,186†
73.1%
2016
148,999
185,560
13,182
347,741
513,635†
67.7%
2012
147,664
175,519
3,477
326,660
485,791†
67.2%
2008
151,119
172,764
2,746
326,629
461,174†
70.8%
2004
116,677
167,484
2,085
286,246
436,557†
65.6%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFL-4FloridaUnited States
English9.9%8.2%9.5%
German8.9%8.9%12.5%
Irish8.9%8.2%9.4%
American7.5%7.7%5.3%
Italian3.8%5.6%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.3%1.3%
French1.6%1.7%1.6%
Polish1.4%2.1%2.2%
African American†27.9%9.5%9.9%
Haitian1.1%2.3%0.3%
African1.0%0.5%0.5%
Jamaican1.0%1.5%0.4%
Puerto Rican2.8%5.6%1.8%
Mexican1.7%3.3%11.3%
Cuban1.1%7.3%0.7%
Colombian0.5%2.1%0.4%
Guatemalan0.3%—0.5%
Dominican0.3%1.3%0.7%
Venezuelan0.3%1.6%—
Honduran0.2%0.6%0.3%
Filipino0.9%0.5%0.9%
Asian Indian0.5%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.5%1.3%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
FL-4
Florida
United States
Median age
38.8
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
8.2%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.5%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
FL-4
Florida
United States
Median household income
$71,083
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.3%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.2%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
FL-4
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.1%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
7.3%
22.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.5%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
FL-4
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Florida 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−17.7%
2008
−6.6%
2012
−8.5%
2016
−10.5%
2020
−6.7%
2024
−11.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
R
42.7%165,912
57.3%222,364
388,349
2022
4
R
39.5%108,402
60.5%165,696
274,103
2020
4
R
38.9%196,423
61.1%308,497
504,940
2018
4
R
32.4%123,351
65.2%248,420
381,249
2016
4
R
27.6%113,088
70.2%287,509
409,662
2014
4
R
0.0%0
78.3%177,887
227,253
2012
4
R
0.0%0
76.1%239,988
315,470
2010
4
R
0.0%0
77.2%178,238
230,845
2008
4
R
34.7%119,330
65.3%224,112
343,442
2006
4
R
30.3%61,704
69.7%141,759
203,479
2004
4
R
0.0%0
99.5%256,157
257,327
2002
4
R
0.0%0
99.7%171,152
171,661
2000
4
R
31.2%94,587
67.0%203,090
303,286
1998
4
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1996
4
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1994
4
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1992
4
R
43.2%103,531
56.7%135,883
239,471
1990
4
R
44.1%95,320
55.9%120,895
216,228
1988
4
R
49.8%124,817
50.2%125,608
250,425
1986
4
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
1984
4
D
64.8%134,694
35.2%73,218
207,912
1982
4
D
66.9%83,895
33.1%41,457
125,352
1980
4
D
65.8%147,775
34.2%76,924
224,699
1978
4
D
73.1%113,302
26.9%41,647
154,949
1976
4
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
43.0%168,554
55.1%215,876
391,766
2022
R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018
R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016
R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012
D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010
R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006
D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004
R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000
D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998
D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994
R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992
D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988
R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986
D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982
D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980
R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976
D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Rick Scott · Republican55.1%215,876
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell · Democrat43.0%168,554
Feena Bonoan · Libertarian0.6%2,521
Ben Everidge · No Party Affiliation0.6%2,294
Tuan Tq Nguyen · No Party Affiliation0.5%2,092
Write-In0.1%429
Florida's 4th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in Clay and Nassau counties and parts of Duval. About 769,200 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 38.8.
Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012, by widening margins. The margin was R+8.6 in 2012, R+10.5 in 2016, R+6.7 in 2020, and R+11.8 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 17.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.8 points.
A population of 769,210, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,083 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 4.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Florida 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1204/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Florida 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 4th Congressional District voted Republican by 11.8 points (R+11.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 398,737 votes cast, 173,072 went Democratic and 220,106 went Republican.
How many people live in Florida 4th Congressional District?
Florida 4th Congressional District has a population of 769,210 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 4th Congressional District is $71,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florida 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
