Mississippi 3rd Congressional District — Elections 1892–2024

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total	CVAP	Turnout
2024	112,864	207,371	3,155	323,390	556,321	58.1%
2020	128,357	212,274	4,305	344,936	559,032^†	61.7%
2016	111,873	199,549	6,101	317,523	555,050^†	57.2%
2012	124,825	205,835	2,840	333,500	546,055^†	61.1%
2008	123,672	209,825	4,346	337,843	535,856^†	63.0%
2004	95,770	197,475	2,221	295,466	525,656^†	56.2%

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

CVAP

Turnout

2024

112,864

207,371

3,155

323,390

556,321

58.1%

2020

128,357

212,274

4,305

344,936

559,032^†

61.7%

2016

111,873

199,549

6,101

317,523

555,050^†

57.2%

2012

124,825

205,835

2,840

333,500

546,055^†

61.1%

2008

123,672

209,825

4,346

337,843

535,856^†

63.0%

2004

95,770

197,475

2,221

295,466

525,656^†

56.2%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Median age	38.6	38.6	39.1
Age 18–24	9.8%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.8%	17.3%	17.2%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Median age

38.6

39.1

Age 18–24

9.8%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.8%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Median household income	$60,128	$56,447	$84,427
Poverty rate	18.0%	19.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	24.8%	25.3%	35.6%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Median household income

$60,128

$56,447

$84,427

Poverty rate

18.0%

19.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

24.8%

25.3%

35.6%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.2%	4.3%	22.3%
Spanish	2.3%	2.7%	13.6%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.2%

4.3%

22.3%

Spanish

2.3%

2.7%

13.6%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Catholic	—	3.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	39.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	40.7%	51.5%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Catholic

—

3.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

39.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

—

40.7%

51.5%

presidential history

Presidential margin, 2004–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
2004	−34.4%
2008	−25.5%
2012	−24.3%
2016	−27.6%
2020	−24.3%
2024	−29.2%

DemocraticRepublican

6 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	34.9%Harris112,864	64.1%Trump207,371	0.4%Kennedy1,190 +7	R+29.2	R+4.9	R+27.8	323,390
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican64.1%207,371 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic34.9%112,864 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.4%1,190 Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%712 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%427 Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%244 Randall TerryIndependent0.1%234 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%179 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%142 OtherAll other candidates0.0%27
2020	R	37.2%Biden128,357	61.5%Trump212,274	1.2%	R+24.3	D+3.3	R+28.8	344,936
2016	R	35.2%Clinton111,873	62.8%Trump199,549	1.9%	R+27.6	R+3.3	R+29.7	317,523
2012	R	37.4%Obama124,825	61.7%Romney205,835	0.9%	R+24.3	D+1.2	R+28.1	333,500
2008	R	36.6%Obama123,672	62.1%McCain209,825	1.3%	R+25.5	D+8.9	R+32.8	337,843
2004^†	R	32.4%Kerry95,770	66.8%Bush197,475	0.8%	R+34.4	—	R+32.0	295,466

current representation

Current officeholders

RMichael GuestU.S. House · MS-03+0.53

RRoger WickerU.S. Senate+0.38

RCindy Hyde-SmithU.S. Senate+0.45

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	3	R	0.0%0	100.0%265,159	265,159
2022	3	R	29.3%54,803	70.7%132,481	187,284
2020	3	R	35.3%120,782	64.7%221,064	341,846
2018	3	R	36.7%94,461	62.3%160,284	257,271
2016	3	R	30.4%96,101	66.2%209,490	316,445
2014	3	R	27.9%47,744	68.9%117,771	170,946
2012	3	R	0.0%0	80.0%234,717	293,322
2010	3	R	31.2%60,737	68.0%132,393	194,716
2008	3	R	37.5%127,698	62.5%213,171	340,869
2006	3	R	0.0%0	77.7%125,421	161,480
2004	3	R	0.0%0	80.1%234,874	293,368
2002	3	R	34.8%76,184	63.6%139,329	219,151
2000	3	R	25.7%54,151	73.2%153,899	210,363
1998	3	R	0.0%0	84.6%84,785	100,250
1996	3	R	36.5%68,658	61.4%115,443	188,144
1994	3	D	67.6%83,163	32.4%39,826	122,989
1992	3	D	81.2%162,864	18.8%37,710	200,574
1990	3	D	100.0%49,162	0.0%0	49,162
1988	3	D	88.8%164,651	11.2%20,729	185,380
1986	3	D	100.0%80,575	0.0%0	80,575
1984	3	D	100.0%158,002	0.0%0	158,002
1982	3	D	93.1%114,530	0.0%0	123,049
1980	3	D	100.0%128,035	0.0%0	128,035
1978	3	D	92.4%101,685	7.6%8,408	110,093
1976	3	D	93.9%129,088	6.1%8,321	137,409

U.S. Senate

The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).

Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	33.4%106,227	66.6%212,020	318,247
2020	R	44.1%578,691	54.1%709,511	1,311,354
2018	R	39.5%369,567	58.5%547,619	936,215
2014	R	37.9%239,439	59.9%378,481	631,858
2012	R	40.6%503,467	57.2%709,626	1,241,568
2008	R	38.6%480,915	61.4%766,111	1,247,026
2006	R	34.9%213,000	63.6%388,399	610,921
2002	R	0.0%0	84.6%533,269	630,495
2000	R	31.6%314,090	65.9%654,941	994,144
1996	R	27.4%240,647	71.0%624,154	878,662
1994	R	31.2%189,752	68.8%418,333	608,085
1990	R	0.0%0	100.0%274,244	274,244
1988	R	46.1%436,339	53.9%510,380	946,719
1984	R	39.1%371,926	60.9%580,314	952,240
1982	D	64.2%414,099	35.8%230,927	645,026
1978	R	31.8%187,541	45.3%267,302	590,236
1976	D	100.0%554,433	0.0%0	554,433

2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district

Roger F Wicker · Republican66.6%212,020
Ty Pinkins · Democrat33.4%106,227

Mississippi's 3rd has returned double-digit Republican presidential margins for decades, anchored by rural communities across the state's central and southern corridors where GOP alignment at the federal level is nearly uniform.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 34.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.2 points.

A population of 740,191, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,128 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 8.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 1

Mississippi

97.2twin score

2008–2016 trajectory% Evangelical

Congressional District 8

Georgia

93.0twin score

2008–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Congressional District 4

Louisiana

92.8twin score

2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

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Places within Mississippi 3rd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Mississippi 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Mississippi 3rd Congressional District voted Republican by 29.2 points (R+29.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 323,390 votes cast, 112,864 went Democratic and 207,371 went Republican.

How many people live in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District?

Mississippi 3rd Congressional District has a population of 740,191 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District?

Median household income in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District is $60,128 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Mississippi 3rd Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total	CVAP	Turnout
2024	112,864	207,371	3,155	323,390	556,321	58.1%
2020	128,357	212,274	4,305	344,936	559,032^†	61.7%
2016	111,873	199,549	6,101	317,523	555,050^†	57.2%
2012	124,825	205,835	2,840	333,500	546,055^†	61.1%
2008	123,672	209,825	4,346	337,843	535,856^†	63.0%
2004	95,770	197,475	2,221	295,466	525,656^†	56.2%

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

CVAP

Turnout

2024

112,864

207,371

3,155

323,390

556,321

58.1%

2020

128,357

212,274

4,305

344,936

559,032^†

61.7%

2016

111,873

199,549

6,101

317,523

555,050^†

57.2%

2012

124,825

205,835

2,840

333,500

546,055^†

61.1%

2008

123,672

209,825

4,346

337,843

535,856^†

63.0%

2004

95,770

197,475

2,221

295,466

525,656^†

56.2%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Median age	38.6	38.6	39.1
Age 18–24	9.8%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.8%	17.3%	17.2%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Median age

38.6

39.1

Age 18–24

9.8%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.8%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Median household income	$60,128	$56,447	$84,427
Poverty rate	18.0%	19.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	24.8%	25.3%	35.6%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Median household income

$60,128

$56,447

$84,427

Poverty rate

18.0%

19.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

24.8%

25.3%

35.6%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.2%	4.3%	22.3%
Spanish	2.3%	2.7%	13.6%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.2%

4.3%

22.3%

Spanish

2.3%

2.7%

13.6%

Measure	MS-3	Mississippi	United States
Catholic	—	3.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	39.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	40.7%	51.5%

Measure

MS-3

Mississippi

United States

Catholic

—

3.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

39.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

—

40.7%

51.5%

Presidential margin, 2004–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
2004	−34.4%
2008	−25.5%
2012	−24.3%
2016	−27.6%
2020	−24.3%
2024	−29.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

34.9%Harris112,864

64.1%Trump207,371

0.4%Kennedy1,190 +7

R+29.2

R+4.9

R+27.8

323,390

All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican64.1%207,371
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic34.9%112,864
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.4%1,190
Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%712
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%427
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%244
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%234
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%179
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%142
OtherAll other candidates0.0%27

2020

37.2%Biden128,357

61.5%Trump212,274

1.2%

R+24.3

D+3.3

R+28.8

344,936

2016

35.2%Clinton111,873

62.8%Trump199,549

1.9%

R+27.6

R+3.3

R+29.7

317,523

2012

37.4%Obama124,825

61.7%Romney205,835

0.9%

R+24.3

D+1.2

R+28.1

333,500

2008

36.6%Obama123,672

62.1%McCain209,825

1.3%

R+25.5

D+8.9

R+32.8

337,843

2004^†

32.4%Kerry95,770

66.8%Bush197,475

0.8%

R+34.4

—

R+32.0

295,466

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.

Year

District

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

0.0%0

100.0%265,159

265,159

2022

29.3%54,803

70.7%132,481

187,284

2020

35.3%120,782

64.7%221,064

341,846

2018

36.7%94,461

62.3%160,284

257,271

2016

30.4%96,101

66.2%209,490

316,445

2014

27.9%47,744

68.9%117,771

170,946

2012

0.0%0

80.0%234,717

293,322

2010

31.2%60,737

68.0%132,393

194,716

2008

37.5%127,698

62.5%213,171

340,869

2006

0.0%0

77.7%125,421

161,480

2004

0.0%0

80.1%234,874

293,368

2002

34.8%76,184

63.6%139,329

219,151

2000

25.7%54,151

73.2%153,899

210,363

1998

0.0%0

84.6%84,785

100,250

1996

36.5%68,658

61.4%115,443

188,144

1994

67.6%83,163

32.4%39,826

122,989

1992

81.2%162,864

18.8%37,710

200,574

1990

100.0%49,162

0.0%0

49,162

1988

88.8%164,651

11.2%20,729

185,380

1986

100.0%80,575

0.0%0

80,575

1984

100.0%158,002

0.0%0

158,002

1982

93.1%114,530

0.0%0

123,049

1980

100.0%128,035

0.0%0

128,035

1978

92.4%101,685

7.6%8,408

110,093

1976

93.9%129,088

6.1%8,321

137,409

Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

33.4%106,227

66.6%212,020

318,247

2020

44.1%578,691

54.1%709,511

1,311,354

2018

39.5%369,567

58.5%547,619

936,215

2014

37.9%239,439

59.9%378,481

631,858

2012

40.6%503,467

57.2%709,626

1,241,568

2008

38.6%480,915

61.4%766,111

1,247,026

2006

34.9%213,000

63.6%388,399

610,921

2002

0.0%0

84.6%533,269

630,495

2000

31.6%314,090

65.9%654,941

994,144

1996

27.4%240,647

71.0%624,154

878,662

1994

31.2%189,752

68.8%418,333

608,085

1990

0.0%0

100.0%274,244

274,244

1988

46.1%436,339

53.9%510,380

946,719

1984

39.1%371,926

60.9%580,314

952,240

1982

64.2%414,099

35.8%230,927

645,026

1978

31.8%187,541

45.3%267,302

590,236

1976

100.0%554,433

0.0%0

554,433

Frequently asked questions

How did Mississippi 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?

How many people live in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District?

Mississippi 3rd Congressional District has a population of 740,191 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District?

Median household income in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District is $60,128 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Mississippi 3rd Congressional District?

Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mississippi 3rd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Presidential margin, 2004–2024

Current officeholders

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Mississippi 3rd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Presidential margin, 2004–2024

Current officeholders

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Mississippi 3rd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions