Clay County, Florida: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted R+39%. Democratic peak: D+85 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 227,5842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,8202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Okaloosa County, FL · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Clay CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Clay County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | +22.7% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +85.4% |
| 1896 | +20.5% |
| 1900 | +50.1% |
| 1904 | +60.6% |
| 1908 | +41.8% |
| 1912 | +64.9% |
| 1916 | +54.4% |
| 1920 | +6.4% |
| 1924 | +28.3% |
| 1928 | −46.0% |
| 1932 | +39.6% |
| 1936 | +38.0% |
| 1940 | +49.8% |
| 1944 | +41.3% |
| 1948 | +30.0% |
| 1952 | +1.9% |
| 1956 | −7.3% |
| 1960 | +4.1% |
| 1964 | −10.0% |
| 1968 | −14.0% |
| 1972 | −71.2% |
| 1976 | −0.3% |
| 1980 | −33.2% |
| 1984 | −59.4% |
| 1988 | −53.7% |
| 1992 | −34.6% |
| 1996 | −36.3% |
| 2000 | −47.3% |
| 2004 | −52.9% |
| 2008 | −42.8% |
| 2012 | −45.8% |
| 2016 | −44.3% |
| 2020 | −37.1% |
| 2024 | −39.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 37,905 | 87,705 | 126,784 | ||
| R | 38,317 | 84,480 | 124,405 | ||
| R | 27,822 | 74,963 | 106,483 | ||
| R | 25,759 | 70,022 | 96,589 | ||
| R | 26,697 | 67,203 | 94,577 | ||
| R | 18,971 | 62,078 | 81,495 | ||
| R | 14,668 | 41,903 | 57,559 | ||
| R | 13,259 | 30,370 | 47,092 | ||
| R | 10,610 | 26,360 | 45,485 | ||
| R | 7,773 | 25,942 | 33,837 | ||
| R | 5,489 | 21,571 | 27,060 | ||
| R | 7,630 | 15,643 | 24,122 | ||
| R | 8,410 | 8,468 | 17,148 | ||
| R | 1,748 | 10,467 | 12,238 | ||
| O | 1,954 | 3,251 | 9,251 | ||
| R | 3,114 | 3,805 | 6,919 | ||
| D | 2,728 | 2,515 | 5,243 | ||
| R | 2,048 | 2,372 | 4,420 | ||
| D | 2,196 | 2,116 | 4,312 | ||
| D | 1,544 | 722 | 2,742 | ||
| D | 1,251 | 520 | 1,771 | ||
| D | 1,488 | 498 | 1,986 | ||
| D | 1,251 | 562 | 1,813 | ||
| D | 1,285 | 556 | 1,841 | ||
| R | 394 | 1,088 | 1,510 | ||
| D | 339 | 171 | 593 | ||
| D | 558 | 486 | 1,123 | ||
| D | 380 | 79 | 553 | ||
| D | 279 | 26 | 390 | ||
| D | 355 | 122 | 558 | ||
| D | 247 | 50 | 325 | ||
| D | 308 | 91 | 433 | ||
| D | 355 | 230 | 611 | ||
| D | 404 | 0 | 473 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 500 | 315 | 815 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.9%
German
11.1%
Irish
10.7%
American
6.0%
Italian
4.0%
Scottish
2.9%
French
2.2%
African American
9.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$87,820
Clay County ranks in the top 10% of US counties.
Clay County$87,820
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Clay County ranks in the top 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.8%
Working age (18–64)8.2%
Seniors (65+)7.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.2%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Anchored by the Jacksonville exurbs, Clay County has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in every cycle since 2000, making it one of the most consistent GOP strongholds in the state's rapidly growing I-95 corridor.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of seventy-one points in 1972 at its widest — Clay County has trended Democratic. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-nine points.
A median household income of $87,820 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 227,584 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Okaloosa County and Warren County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clay County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Clay County, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clay County, Florida voted Republican by 39.3 points (R+39), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 126,784 votes cast, 37,905 went Democratic and 87,705 went Republican.
What is Clay County, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Clay County, Florida in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology — College-educated, affluent suburbs — the one bloc moving toward the Democratic Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.
When did Clay County, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Florida voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Clay County, Florida?
Clay County, Florida has a population of 227,584 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clay County, Florida?
Median household income in Clay County, Florida is $87,820 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Clay County, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The county's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.