Duval County, Florida: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+95 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,023,1532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,2772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 28.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Stafford County, VA · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Duval CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Duval County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −28.4% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +95.2% |
| 1896 | +11.9% |
| 1900 | +38.9% |
| 1904 | +43.7% |
| 1908 | +48.8% |
| 1912 | +70.1% |
| 1916 | +51.7% |
| 1920 | +33.0% |
| 1924 | +23.0% |
| 1928 | −28.5% |
| 1932 | +51.5% |
| 1936 | +65.8% |
| 1940 | +63.4% |
| 1944 | +50.2% |
| 1948 | +22.1% |
| 1952 | +3.5% |
| 1956 | −0.3% |
| 1960 | +8.5% |
| 1964 | −1.1% |
| 1968 | +1.9% |
| 1972 | −44.7% |
| 1976 | +16.9% |
| 1980 | −4.2% |
| 1984 | −24.8% |
| 1988 | −26.1% |
| 1992 | −12.6% |
| 1996 | −5.8% |
| 2000 | −16.8% |
| 2004 | −16.2% |
| 2008 | −1.9% |
| 2012 | −3.6% |
| 2016 | −1.4% |
| 2020 | +3.8% |
| 2024 | −1.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 229,249 | 236,244 | 471,121 | ||
| D | 252,556 | 233,762 | 492,820 | ||
| R | 205,704 | 211,672 | 432,695 | ||
| R | 196,737 | 211,615 | 411,848 | ||
| R | 202,618 | 210,537 | 415,761 | ||
| R | 158,610 | 220,190 | 381,061 | ||
| R | 108,039 | 152,460 | 265,181 | ||
| R | 112,328 | 126,959 | 254,123 | ||
| R | 92,098 | 123,631 | 249,926 | ||
| R | 74,894 | 128,081 | 203,979 | ||
| R | 77,488 | 128,724 | 206,249 | ||
| R | 90,466 | 98,664 | 195,554 | ||
| D | 105,912 | 74,997 | 182,561 | ||
| R | 46,530 | 122,154 | 169,204 | ||
| O | 54,834 | 51,585 | 166,978 | ||
| R | 79,365 | 81,116 | 160,481 | ||
| D | 70,091 | 59,073 | 129,164 | ||
| R | 53,127 | 53,481 | 106,608 | ||
| D | 53,949 | 50,346 | 104,295 | ||
| D | 28,567 | 15,379 | 59,695 | ||
| D | 36,867 | 12,220 | 49,087 | ||
| D | 41,003 | 9,177 | 50,180 | ||
| D | 25,989 | 5,368 | 31,357 | ||
| D | 19,038 | 6,096 | 25,134 | ||
| R | 9,316 | 16,919 | 26,689 | ||
| D | 5,908 | 3,291 | 11,376 | ||
| D | 13,650 | 6,628 | 21,257 | ||
| D | 5,456 | 1,339 | 7,957 | ||
| D | 3,514 | 243 | 4,669 | ||
| D | 2,381 | 641 | 3,562 | ||
| D | 2,011 | 671 | 3,063 | ||
| D | 1,857 | 773 | 2,788 | ||
| D | 1,903 | 1,462 | 3,694 | ||
| D | 1,442 | 0 | 1,515 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 1,890 | 3,387 | 5,277 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
8.4%
English
8.4%
German
8.1%
American
7.0%
Italian
3.8%
Scottish
1.8%
Polish
1.4%
African American
22.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,277
Duval County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Duval County$71,277
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Duval County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.2%
Working age (18–64)12.7%
Seniors (65+)13.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.7%
speak English only
Spanish8.1%
Other Indo-European3.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Duval County, anchored by Jacksonville, has shifted steadily toward competitive status as a growing Black electorate and an influx of younger, college-educated residents have eroded margins that once made it a reliable anchor of Florida's Republican coalition.
The Democratic margin here reached ninety-five points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 1,023,153, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,277 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stafford County and Warren County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duval County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More diversifying metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Duval County, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duval County, Florida voted Republican by 1.5 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 471,121 votes cast, 229,249 went Democratic and 236,244 went Republican.
What is Duval County, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Duval County, Florida in the "Diversifying Metro" typology — Mid-size metropolitan counties growing more diverse and trending Democratic. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Duval County, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Duval County, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Duval County, Florida?
Duval County, Florida has a population of 1,023,153 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duval County, Florida?
Median household income in Duval County, Florida is $71,277 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Duval County, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Duval County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The county's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.