congressional districtMissouri 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+15.3
2008R+8.4
2012R+17.3
2016R+23.8
2020R+18.6
2024R+21.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+6.0R+15.3 → R+21.3
vs. U.S. · 2024R+19.8R+21.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 66.2% of 597,531 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
153,018
237,213
5,095
395,326
597,531
66.2%
2020
155,633
228,556
6,988
391,177
584,253†
67.0%
2016
125,063
208,465
17,343
350,871
568,911†
61.7%
2012
139,821
198,489
165
338,475
558,496†
60.6%
2008
163,312
193,843
6,450
363,605
546,687†
66.5%
2004
141,458
192,995
1,819
336,272
534,878†
62.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMO-4MissouriUnited States
German19.3%21.3%12.5%
English14.1%11.9%9.5%
Irish11.7%11.8%9.4%
American7.4%6.8%5.3%
Italian2.7%3.2%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.8%1.3%
French1.8%2.2%1.6%
Polish1.3%1.3%2.2%
African American†6.4%10.0%9.9%
Mexican3.6%3.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.4%1.8%
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MO-4
Missouri
United States
Median age
38
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.2%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MO-4
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$67,488
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.4%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.2%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MO-4
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.1%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
4.1%
2.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
MO-4
Missouri
United States
Catholic
—
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Missouri 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−15.3%
2008
−8.4%
2012
−17.3%
2016
−23.8%
2020
−18.6%
2024
−21.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
R
26.4%96,568
71.1%259,886
365,696
2022
4
R
26.3%67,069
71.3%181,890
255,079
2020
4
R
29.7%107,635
67.6%245,247
362,836
2018
4
R
32.7%95,968
64.8%190,138
293,316
2016
4
R
27.8%92,510
67.8%225,348
332,234
2014
4
R
26.4%46,464
68.1%120,014
176,286
2012
4
R
35.5%113,120
60.3%192,237
318,723
2010
4
R
45.1%101,532
50.4%113,489
225,056
2008
4
D
65.9%200,009
34.1%103,446
303,455
2006
4
D
67.6%159,303
29.4%69,254
235,525
2004
4
D
66.2%190,800
32.4%93,334
288,226
2002
4
D
67.6%142,204
30.7%64,451
210,238
2000
4
D
66.9%180,634
31.3%84,406
269,889
1998
4
D
71.0%133,173
27.2%51,005
187,616
1996
4
D
63.8%153,566
33.9%81,650
240,789
1994
4
D
67.8%137,876
32.2%65,616
203,492
1992
4
D
70.4%176,977
29.6%74,475
251,452
1990
4
D
61.8%105,527
38.2%65,095
170,622
1988
4
D
71.8%166,480
28.2%65,393
231,873
1986
4
D
100.0%129,471
0.0%0
129,471
1984
4
D
66.9%150,624
33.1%74,434
225,058
1982
4
D
54.8%96,388
45.2%79,565
175,953
1980
4
D
67.8%151,459
32.2%71,869
223,328
1978
4
D
72.8%120,748
27.2%45,116
165,864
1976
4
D
55.9%115,955
44.1%91,605
207,560
Stretching across rural west-central Missouri, this district returned a 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a predominantly rural, low-density electorate that has moved steadily rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 23.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.3 points.
A population of 769,348, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,488 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 6 and Congressional District 7.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missouri 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2904/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Missouri 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missouri 4th Congressional District voted Republican by 21.3 points (R+21.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 395,326 votes cast, 153,018 went Democratic and 237,213 went Republican.
How many people live in Missouri 4th Congressional District?
Missouri 4th Congressional District has a population of 769,348 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missouri 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Missouri 4th Congressional District is $67,488 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Missouri 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Missouri 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
