Bates County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 8,344 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BUTLER (4)BUTLER (4) | 548 | 2,019 | 23 | 2,590 | 21.2% | 78.0% | R+56.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ADRIAN (1)ADRIAN (1) | 438 | 1,915 | 21 | 2,374 | 18.4% | 80.7% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -RICH HILL (8)RICH HILL (8) | 179 | 855 | 8 | 1,042 | 17.2% | 82.1% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -AMORET/AMSTERDAM (2)AMORET/AMSTERDAM (2) | 122 | 489 | 6 | 617 | 19.8% | 79.3% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -BALLARD (3)BALLARD (3) | 93 | 393 | 4 | 490 | 19.0% | 80.2% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -HUME (7)HUME (7) | 62 | 362 | 9 | 433 | 14.3% | 83.6% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -HUDSON/ROCKVILLE (6)HUDSON/ROCKVILLE (6) | 57 | 344 | 4 | 405 | 14.1% | 84.9% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -DREXEL (5)DREXEL (5) | 64 | 325 | 4 | 393 | 16.3% | 82.7% | R+66.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.5% |
| 1896 | +33.0% |
| 1900 | +12.4% |
| 1904 | +0.2% |
| 1908 | +7.9% |
| 1912 | +27.8% |
| 1916 | +10.9% |
| 1920 | −6.2% |
| 1924 | +1.8% |
| 1928 | −26.0% |
| 1932 | +29.1% |
| 1936 | +6.1% |
| 1940 | −7.0% |
| 1944 | −11.1% |
| 1948 | +2.5% |
| 1952 | −20.1% |
| 1956 | −11.9% |
| 1960 | −16.3% |
| 1964 | +19.0% |
| 1968 | −8.7% |
| 1972 | −27.5% |
| 1976 | +12.2% |
| 1980 | −10.2% |
| 1984 | −18.8% |
| 1988 | −3.5% |
| 1992 | +6.4% |
| 1996 | +4.5% |
| 2000 | −11.0% |
| 2004 | −19.0% |
| 2008 | −18.9% |
| 2012 | −31.7% |
| 2016 | −54.2% |
| 2020 | −58.4% |
| 2024 | −61.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,616 |
| 2018 | 11,281 |
| 2020 | 11,741 |
| 2022 | 11,784 |
| 2024 | 12,069 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+55 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −101 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,585 in average income, against $64,669 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.8 on average — 49 points more Democratic-leaning than Bates County, MO itself (R+61.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cass County, MO120R+32.1
- Jackson County, MO53D+19.3
- Johnson County, KS29D+8.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cass County, MO92
- Jackson County, MO52
- Vernon County, MO43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41 |
| 2012 | −352 |
| 2013 | −147 |
| 2014 | +92 |
| 2015 | −126 |
| 2016 | +21 |
| 2017 | −27 |
| 2018 | +28 |
| 2019 | −140 |
| 2021 | +82 |
| 2022 | +148 |
| 2023 | +126 |
| 2024 | +180 |
| 2025 | +55 |
Bates County, anchored by the small city of Butler, logged an R+61.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among Missouri's most heavily one-sided rural counties in a state that has shifted sharply away from competitive statewide races over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 61.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.6 points.
A population of 16,186, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,733 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison County and Jackson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bates County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.