Polk County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 15,826 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MOONEYMOONEY | 371 | 1,650 | 21 | 2,042 | 18.2% | 80.8% | R+62.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MARION NORTHEASTMARION NORTHEAST | 414 | 1,527 | 25 | 1,966 | 21.1% | 77.7% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -MARION NORTHWESTMARION NORTHWEST | 360 | 1,559 | 23 | 1,942 | 18.5% | 80.3% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -MARION SOUTHEASTMARION SOUTHEAST | 288 | 1,167 | 21 | 1,476 | 19.5% | 79.1% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -MARION SOUTHWESTMARION SOUTHWEST | 264 | 1,042 | 15 | 1,321 | 20.0% | 78.9% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -JOHNSONJOHNSON | 233 | 1,022 | 14 | 1,269 | 18.4% | 80.5% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -MADISON EASTMADISON EAST | 207 | 963 | 7 | 1,177 | 17.6% | 81.8% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -LOONEY WESTLOONEY WEST | 178 | 840 | 8 | 1,026 | 17.3% | 81.9% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -BENTON NORTHBENTON NORTH | 154 | 851 | 12 | 1,017 | 15.1% | 83.7% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -LOONEY EASTLOONEY EAST | 203 | 781 | 18 | 1,002 | 20.3% | 77.9% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 138 | 680 | 10 | 828 | 16.7% | 82.1% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -GREENE NORTHGREENE NORTH | 138 | 609 | 13 | 760 | 18.2% | 80.1% | R+62.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −17.0% |
| 1896 | +2.8% |
| 1900 | −10.0% |
| 1904 | −18.2% |
| 1908 | −10.8% |
| 1912 | +2.9% |
| 1916 | −9.6% |
| 1920 | −26.8% |
| 1924 | −14.6% |
| 1928 | −39.4% |
| 1932 | +6.6% |
| 1936 | −13.6% |
| 1940 | −24.1% |
| 1944 | −33.1% |
| 1948 | −13.3% |
| 1952 | −35.9% |
| 1956 | −19.5% |
| 1960 | −33.0% |
| 1964 | +1.0% |
| 1968 | −28.5% |
| 1972 | −41.3% |
| 1976 | −3.0% |
| 1980 | −18.0% |
| 1984 | −32.0% |
| 1988 | −19.0% |
| 1992 | −1.7% |
| 1996 | −13.4% |
| 2000 | −27.4% |
| 2004 | −38.6% |
| 2008 | −32.1% |
| 2012 | −43.2% |
| 2016 | −56.7% |
| 2020 | −59.4% |
| 2024 | −61.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,106 |
| 2018 | 19,233 |
| 2020 | 20,713 |
| 2022 | 21,050 |
| 2024 | 21,610 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+334 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,599 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,245 in average income, against $62,726 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.9 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Polk County, MO itself (R+61.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Greene County, MO281R+20.8
- Dallas County, MO48R+64.6
- Hickory County, MO47R+61.1
- Christian County, MO45R+52.2
- Cedar County, MO41R+69.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Greene County, MO291
- Dallas County, MO49
- Hickory County, MO42
- Cedar County, MO41
- Christian County, MO41
- Jackson County, MO22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −17 |
| 2012 | −149 |
| 2013 | +23 |
| 2014 | −73 |
| 2015 | +136 |
| 2016 | +74 |
| 2017 | +379 |
| 2018 | +473 |
| 2019 | −63 |
| 2021 | +531 |
| 2022 | +624 |
| 2023 | +128 |
| 2024 | +199 |
| 2025 | +334 |
Polk County, anchored by Bolivar in the Ozarks fringe, returned a 61-point Republican margin in 2024 — a figure that places it among Missouri's most one-sided counties and reflects the region's deep rural realignment over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.6 points.
A population of 32,444, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,647 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cedar County and Butler County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Polk County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29167/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.