Vernon County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 8,973 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CENTENNIAL HALLCENTENNIAL HALL | 504 | 1,744 | 19 | 2,267 | 22.2% | 76.9% | R+54.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -YMCA POLLYMCA POLL | 203 | 821 | 10 | 1,034 | 19.6% | 79.4% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -SHELDON METHODIST CHURCHSHELDON METHODIST CHURCH | 131 | 700 | 6 | 837 | 15.7% | 83.6% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -FIRST BAPTIST CHURCHFIRST BAPTIST CHURCH | 201 | 599 | 11 | 811 | 24.8% | 73.9% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -UNITED METHODIST CHURCHUNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 198 | 445 | 9 | 652 | 30.4% | 68.3% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -WALKERWALKER | 94 | 545 | 6 | 645 | 14.6% | 84.5% | R+69.9 |
| Precinct -MILO BAPTIST CHURCHMILO BAPTIST CHURCH | 100 | 478 | 8 | 586 | 17.1% | 81.6% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -BRONAUGHBRONAUGH | 91 | 471 | 7 | 569 | 16.0% | 82.8% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -SCHELL CITYSCHELL CITY | 69 | 436 | 3 | 508 | 13.6% | 85.8% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -DEEFIELD BAPTIST CHURCHDEEFIELD BAPTIST CHURCH | 68 | 345 | 5 | 418 | 16.3% | 82.5% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -METZ METHODIST CHURCHMETZ METHODIST CHURCH | 78 | 311 | 2 | 391 | 19.9% | 79.5% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -YORK FARMS (VIRGIL)YORK FARMS (VIRGIL) | 37 | 217 | 1 | 255 | 14.5% | 85.1% | R+70.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +28.0% |
| 1896 | +39.1% |
| 1900 | +28.3% |
| 1904 | +12.8% |
| 1908 | +21.1% |
| 1912 | +29.4% |
| 1916 | +25.1% |
| 1920 | +7.6% |
| 1924 | +13.5% |
| 1928 | −22.2% |
| 1932 | +39.6% |
| 1936 | +20.3% |
| 1940 | +7.1% |
| 1944 | −2.8% |
| 1948 | +16.7% |
| 1952 | −14.2% |
| 1956 | −6.5% |
| 1960 | −12.5% |
| 1964 | +31.9% |
| 1968 | −0.4% |
| 1972 | −23.1% |
| 1976 | +13.9% |
| 1980 | −8.1% |
| 1984 | −26.9% |
| 1988 | −9.9% |
| 1992 | +8.4% |
| 1996 | +3.1% |
| 2000 | −21.8% |
| 2004 | −28.1% |
| 2008 | −22.0% |
| 2012 | −37.3% |
| 2016 | −55.9% |
| 2020 | −57.2% |
| 2024 | −59.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,119 |
| 2018 | 12,428 |
| 2020 | 13,166 |
| 2022 | 12,242 |
| 2024 | 13,111 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+172 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −243 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,594 in average income, against $54,128 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+64.9 on average — 5.4 points more Republican-leaning than Vernon County, MO itself (R+59.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bates County, MO43R+61.6
- Cedar County, MO43R+69.6
- Barton County, MO22R+72.1
- Bourbon County, KS21R+54.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jasper County, MO36
- Cedar County, MO35
- Jackson County, MO24
- Barton County, MO22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −119 |
| 2012 | −178 |
| 2013 | +34 |
| 2014 | +11 |
| 2015 | −229 |
| 2016 | −107 |
| 2017 | −163 |
| 2018 | −20 |
| 2019 | +55 |
| 2021 | −22 |
| 2022 | +111 |
| 2023 | +184 |
| 2024 | +28 |
| 2025 | +172 |
Vernon County's R+59.5 margin in 2024 places it among Missouri's most heavily one-sided counties, reflecting the broader rural realignment that has reshaped small-population agricultural communities across the western Ozark fringe over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 59.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.5 points.
A population of 19,687, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,230 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dallas County and Morgan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Vernon County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29217/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.