congressional districtNew Mexico 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+1.7
2008D+14.1
2012D+9.5
2016D+6.0
2020D+5.9
2024R+1.8
net swing · 2004→2024R+0.1R+1.7 → R+1.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+0.3R+1.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 54.8% of 495,780 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
130,537
135,434
5,739
271,710
495,780
54.8%
2020
137,446
121,860
5,589
264,895
480,566†
55.1%
2016
107,182
93,604
24,606
225,392
464,711†
48.5%
2012
115,277
94,535
8,369
218,181
451,719†
48.3%
2008
129,869
97,459
2,509
229,837
427,942†
53.7%
2004
102,188
105,762
2,500
210,450
404,165†
52.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNM-2New MexicoUnited States
Mexican44.6%32.4%11.3%
Spaniard3.6%3.6%—
Spanish3.4%4.2%—
Puerto Rican0.6%0.5%1.8%
Cuban0.3%0.3%0.7%
German11.6%8.7%12.5%
English11.3%8.5%9.5%
Irish9.2%6.9%9.4%
American5.5%3.9%5.3%
Italian3.0%2.4%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.7%1.3%
French1.8%1.4%1.6%
Polish1.0%0.8%2.2%
Navajo11.3%5.8%—
African American†1.5%1.3%9.9%
African0.2%0.2%0.5%
Filipino0.3%0.4%0.9%
Asian Indian0.2%0.2%1.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NM-2
New Mexico
United States
Median age
37
39.7
39.1
Age 18–24
10.4%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.3%
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NM-2
New Mexico
United States
Median household income
$57,932
$64,059
$84,427
Poverty rate
20.2%
17.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.0%
30.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NM-2
New Mexico
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
33.1%
31.4%
22.3%
Spanish
28.4%
24.5%
13.6%
Other languages
2.2%
4.5%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
NM-2
New Mexico
United States
Catholic
—
29.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
47.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−1.7%
2008
+14.1%
2012
+9.5%
2016
+6.0%
2020
+5.9%
2024
−1.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
2
D
52.1%138,177
47.9%127,145
265,322
2022
2
D
50.4%97,037
49.6%95,636
192,673
2020
2
R
46.3%122,546
53.7%142,283
264,946
2018
2
D
50.9%101,489
49.1%97,767
199,256
2016
2
R
37.2%85,232
62.7%143,515
228,817
2014
2
R
35.5%52,499
64.4%95,209
147,777
2012
2
R
40.9%92,162
59.1%133,180
225,515
2010
2
R
44.6%75,708
55.4%94,053
169,761
2008
2
D
56.0%129,572
44.0%101,980
231,552
2006
2
R
40.5%63,119
59.4%92,620
155,874
2004
2
R
39.8%86,292
60.2%130,498
216,790
2002
2
R
43.7%61,916
56.2%79,631
141,629
2000
2
R
41.9%72,614
58.1%100,742
173,356
1998
2
R
42.1%61,796
57.9%85,077
146,873
1996
2
R
44.1%74,915
55.9%95,091
170,006
1994
2
R
31.9%45,316
63.3%89,966
142,180
1992
2
R
43.5%73,157
56.4%94,838
168,170
1990
2
R
0.0%0
100.0%80,677
80,677
1988
2
R
0.0%0
100.0%100,324
100,324
1986
2
R
37.1%45,924
62.9%77,787
123,711
1984
2
R
25.7%40,063
74.3%116,006
156,069
1982
2
R
41.6%50,599
58.4%71,021
121,620
1980
2
R
34.0%55,085
38.0%61,564
161,992
1978
2
D
100.0%95,710
0.0%0
95,710
1976
2
D
70.3%123,563
29.7%52,131
175,694
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
51.9%137,118
48.1%126,830
263,948
2020
D
51.7%474,483
45.6%418,483
917,237
2018
D
54.1%376,998
30.5%212,813
697,012
2014
D
55.6%286,409
44.4%229,097
515,506
2012
D
51.0%395,717
45.3%351,260
775,176
2008
D
61.3%505,128
38.7%318,522
823,650
2006
D
70.7%394,365
29.3%163,826
558,191
2002
R
35.0%168,863
65.0%314,193
483,056
2000
D
61.7%363,744
38.3%225,517
589,261
1996
R
29.8%164,356
64.7%357,171
551,821
1994
D
54.0%249,989
46.0%213,025
463,014
1990
R
27.1%110,033
72.9%296,712
406,745
1988
D
63.3%321,983
36.7%186,579
508,562
1984
R
28.1%141,253
71.9%361,371
502,634
1982
D
53.8%217,682
46.2%187,128
404,810
1978
R
46.6%160,045
53.4%183,442
343,487
1976
R
42.7%176,382
56.8%234,681
413,056
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Martin T Heinrich · Democrat51.9%137,118
Nella Domenici · Republican48.1%126,830
Spanning the southeastern quadrant of New Mexico, this vast, energy-producing district has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering double-digit Republican presidential margins even as the state as a whole trends Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 1.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.8 points.
A population of 705,849, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,932 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 34 and Congressional District 22.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did New Mexico 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Mexico 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 1.8 points (R+1.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 271,710 votes cast, 130,537 went Democratic and 135,434 went Republican.
When did New Mexico 2nd Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Mexico 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District?
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District has a population of 705,849 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District is $57,932 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of New Mexico 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
