† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHopeArkansasUnited States
African American†42.8%13.5%9.9%
African1.2%0.9%0.5%
English6.3%12.3%9.5%
Irish3.9%8.9%9.4%
American3.1%7.5%5.3%
German2.7%9.2%12.5%
Italian0.6%1.4%4.8%
Dutch0.6%——
Scottish0.4%1.8%1.3%
Polish0.4%—2.2%
Mexican17.0%6.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.0%0.3%1.8%
Spaniard0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hope
Arkansas
United States
Median age
41.3
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
8.6%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.4%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hope
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$37,500
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
23.4%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
14.2%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hope
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.4%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
11.6%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hope
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hope, Arkansas
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+37.3%
2008
+16.7%
2012
+8.7%
2016
+16.3%
2020
+12.0%
2024
+6.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
52.1%Harris946
45.5%Trump827
2.4%
D+6.5
R+5.4
D+8.0
1,817
D
53.5%Biden1,174
41.5%Trump911
5.0%
D+12.0
R+4.3
D+7.5
2,195
D
56.0%Clinton1,319
39.7%Trump935
4.3%
D+16.3
D+7.6
D+14.2
2,355
D
53.1%Obama1,306
44.4%Romney1,093
2.4%
D+8.7
R+8.1
D+4.8
2,459
D
56.3%Obama1,168
39.5%McCain821
4.2%
D+16.7
R+20.5
D+9.4
2,076
D
68.5%Kerry1,553
31.2%Bush708
0.3%
D+37.3
—
D+39.7
2,268
Hope's population has contracted steadily since its mid-century peak, leaving it a majority-minority city of under 9,000 where Democratic margins in statewide races have held firmer than in surrounding Hempstead County precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.5 points.
A population of 8,671, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,500 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren and Brownsville.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Hope, Arkansas voted Democratic by 6.5 points (D+6.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,817 votes cast, 946 went Democratic and 827 went Republican.
How many people live in Hope, Arkansas?
Hope, Arkansas has a population of 8,671 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hope, Arkansas?
Median household income in Hope, Arkansas is $37,500 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Hope, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Hope, Arkansas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
