congressional districtArkansas 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+6.6
2008R+20.6
2012R+24.0
2016R+30.4
2020R+35.2
2024R+39.9
net swing · 2004→2024R+33.3R+6.6 → R+39.9
vs. U.S. · 2024R+38.4R+39.9 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 49.6% of 564,598 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
81,551
193,295
5,160
280,006
564,598
49.6%
2020
92,682
198,054
8,222
298,958
577,869†
51.7%
2016
94,415
182,694
13,186
290,295
580,409†
50.0%
2012
104,902
173,124
6,490
284,516
582,639†
48.8%
2008
114,806
177,005
9,597
301,408
578,361†
52.1%
2004
138,086
157,714
3,294
299,094
574,084†
52.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAR-4ArkansasUnited States
English11.5%12.3%9.5%
Irish8.4%8.9%9.4%
American8.4%7.5%5.3%
German7.7%9.2%12.5%
Scottish1.5%1.8%1.3%
French1.1%1.3%1.6%
Italian1.1%1.4%4.8%
Scotch-Irish0.8%0.6%—
African American†17.8%13.5%9.9%
African1.7%0.9%0.5%
Mexican5.7%6.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.6%0.9%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.3%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AR-4
Arkansas
United States
Median age
40.7
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
9.2%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.5%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AR-4
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$52,605
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
18.8%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
20.9%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AR-4
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.3%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
5.7%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
AR-4
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arkansas 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−6.6%
2008
−20.6%
2012
−24.0%
2016
−30.4%
2020
−35.2%
2024
−39.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
R
27.1%73,207
72.9%197,046
270,253
2022
4
R
26.2%56,745
71.0%153,850
216,696
2020
4
R
27.5%75,750
69.7%191,617
275,035
2018
4
R
31.2%63,984
66.7%136,740
204,892
2016
4
R
0.0%0
74.9%182,885
244,159
2014
4
R
42.6%87,742
53.7%110,789
206,131
2012
4
R
36.7%95,013
59.5%154,149
258,953
2010
4
D
57.5%102,479
40.2%71,526
178,134
2008
4
D
86.2%203,178
0.0%0
235,781
2006
4
D
74.7%128,236
25.3%43,360
171,596
2004
4
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
2002
4
D
60.6%119,633
39.4%77,904
197,537
2000
4
D
51.0%108,143
49.0%104,017
212,160
1998
4
R
42.5%68,194
57.5%92,346
160,540
1996
4
R
36.5%72,391
63.5%125,956
198,347
1994
4
R
48.2%81,370
51.8%87,469
168,839
1992
4
R
47.7%102,918
52.3%113,009
215,927
1990
4
D
72.4%110,365
27.6%42,130
152,495
1988
4
D
69.2%129,508
30.8%57,658
187,166
1986
4
D
77.4%115,339
15.4%22,980
148,924
1984
4
D
97.9%117,123
0.0%0
119,639
1982
4
D
65.6%121,256
34.4%63,661
184,917
1980
4
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
1978
4
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
1976
4
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
Arkansas's 4th covers the southern and western reaches of the state, where Republican presidential candidates have carried the district by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting a largely rural, small-town electorate with deep conservative alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 39.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.9 points.
A population of 753,061, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,605 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 1.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0504/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Arkansas 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 4th Congressional District voted Republican by 39.9 points (R+39.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 280,006 votes cast, 81,551 went Democratic and 193,295 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 4th Congressional District?
Arkansas 4th Congressional District has a population of 753,061 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Arkansas 4th Congressional District is $52,605 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arkansas 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
