† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupArvinCaliforniaUnited States
Mexican84.4%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran2.5%2.0%0.7%
Guatemalan1.3%1.3%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.8%0.6%1.8%
Spaniard0.7%0.3%—
Spanish0.7%0.3%—
Honduran0.5%—0.3%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
German6.6%6.8%12.5%
English6.5%6.3%9.5%
Irish5.5%5.9%9.4%
American4.0%2.8%5.3%
Italian2.2%3.4%4.8%
French1.2%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.2%0.9%1.3%
Polish0.7%0.9%2.2%
African American†1.3%4.4%9.9%
Aztec10.7%0.3%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Arvin
California
United States
Median age
25
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
13.6%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
5.1%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Arvin
California
United States
Median household income
$49,183
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
34.6%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
5.0%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Arvin
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
83.9%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
83.6%
28.4%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Arvin
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arvin, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+24.5%
2008
+39.5%
2012
+51.9%
2016
+64.4%
2020
+51.1%
2024
+19.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
58.5%Harris1,803
38.9%Trump1,199
2.6%
D+19.6
R+31.5
D+21.1
3,083
D
74.4%Biden2,382
23.3%Trump745
2.3%
D+51.1
R+13.3
D+46.7
3,201
D
79.9%Clinton1,933
15.5%Trump375
4.6%
D+64.4
D+12.5
D+62.3
2,419
D
74.6%Obama1,590
22.7%Romney483
2.7%
D+51.9
D+12.4
D+48.1
2,131
D
69.1%Obama1,598
29.6%McCain685
1.2%
D+39.5
D+15.0
D+32.2
2,311
D
61.5%Kerry1,172
36.9%Bush704
1.6%
D+24.5
—
D+27.0
1,907
Arvin sits at the southern end of the San Joaquin Valley, where a predominantly Latino, agriculture-dependent population produces heavily Democratic registration margins in an otherwise competitive Kern County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 31.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.6 points.
A population of 19,539, a 3% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,183 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamont and Parlier.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Arvin, California voted Democratic by 19.6 points (D+19.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,083 votes cast, 1,803 went Democratic and 1,199 went Republican.
How many people live in Arvin, California?
Arvin, California has a population of 19,539 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arvin, California?
Median household income in Arvin, California is $49,183 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Arvin, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arvin, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
