Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic56.8%443TrumpRepublican40.1%313OtherAll other candidates3.1%24
D+16.7
Lead
130
Total
780
vs nation
D+18.1
BidenDemocratic55.9%596TrumpRepublican41.6%444OtherAll other candidates2.5%27
D+14.2
Lead
152
Total
1,067
vs nation
D+9.8
ClintonDemocratic72.4%503TrumpRepublican21.9%152OtherAll other candidates5.8%40
D+50.5
Lead
351
Total
695
vs nation
D+48.4
ObamaDemocratic80.8%481RomneyRepublican16.1%96OtherAll other candidates3.0%18
D+64.7
Lead
385
Total
595
vs nation
D+60.9
ObamaDemocratic74.6%364McCainRepublican24.2%118OtherAll other candidates1.2%6
D+50.4
Lead
246
Total
488
vs nation
D+43.1
KerryDemocratic66.3%266BushRepublican30.7%123OtherAll other candidates3.0%12
D+35.7
Lead
143
Total
401
vs nation
D+38.1
ClintonDemocratic73.6%545DoleRepublican15.7%116OtherAll other candidates10.7%79
D+58.0
Lead
429
Total
740
vs nation
D+49.5
ClintonDemocratic55.6%487BushRepublican19.6%172OtherAll other candidates24.8%217
D+36.0
Lead
270
Total
876
vs nation
D+30.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+16.7MIT Election Lab
Population
4,7572024 5-year
Population density
7,928 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$52,5002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
4.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
92.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+64.7 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
39.2%804 participants ÷ 2,052 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+22.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-3.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
16.8%–23.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
39.1%
36.5%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
804
2,052 ± 339
39.2%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
654
1,793 ± 307
36.5%
Audited
E/D
1,075
1,826 ± 339
58.9%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
649
1,658 ± 301
39.1%
Audited
E/D
721
1,483 ± 262
48.6%
Audited
E/D
595
1,707
34.9%
Derived
—
488
2,004
24.4%
Derived
—
401
2,301 extrapolated
17.4%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Bret Harte, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
80.8%
481 votes · D+64.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 74.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
41.6%
444 votes · D+14.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 40.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
596votes
55.9% of the vote · D+14.2
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 545 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
444votes
41.6% of the vote · D+14.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 313 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+60.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+64.7 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +49.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
−9.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+14.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · −18.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Bret Harte · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Stanislaus County, California, the county containing Bret Harte — Bret Harte’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Bret Harte, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Bret Harte sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.7 points.
A population of 4,757, a 5% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,500 describe the city.
In 2024, Bret Harte, California voted Democratic by 16.7 points (D+16.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 780 votes cast, 443 went Democratic and 313 went Republican.
How many people live in Bret Harte, California?
Bret Harte, California has a population of 4,757 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bret Harte, California?
Median household income in Bret Harte, California is $52,500 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bret Harte, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Bret Harte, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
