Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic57.2%262TrumpRepublican40.2%184OtherAll other candidates2.6%12
D+17.0
Lead
78
Total
458
vs nation
D+18.5
BidenDemocratic76.2%317TrumpRepublican20.7%86OtherAll other candidates3.1%13
D+55.5
Lead
231
Total
416
vs nation
D+51.1
ClintonDemocratic78.1%310TrumpRepublican17.4%69OtherAll other candidates4.5%18
D+60.7
Lead
241
Total
397
vs nation
D+58.6
ObamaDemocratic75.0%396RomneyRepublican22.3%118OtherAll other candidates2.7%14
D+52.7
Lead
278
Total
528
vs nation
D+48.8
ObamaDemocratic71.2%423McCainRepublican27.9%166OtherAll other candidates0.8%5
D+43.3
Lead
257
Total
594
vs nation
D+36.0
KerryDemocratic63.2%311BushRepublican34.8%171OtherAll other candidates2.0%10
D+28.5
Lead
140
Total
492
vs nation
D+30.9
ClintonDemocratic81.6%186DoleRepublican7.9%18OtherAll other candidates10.5%24
D+73.7
Lead
162
Total
228
vs nation
D+65.2
ClintonDemocratic43.5%180BushRepublican34.1%141OtherAll other candidates22.5%93
D+9.4
Lead
39
Total
414
vs nation
D+3.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+17.0MIT Election Lab
Population
3,1072024 5-year
Population density
6,214 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$44,2472024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
3.1%2024 5-year
Black
12.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
79.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+73.7 in 1996MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
46.3%461 participants ÷ 996 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+7.9 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-18.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
38.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%
26.1%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
461
996 ± 271
46.3%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
257
984 ± 277
26.1%
Audited
E/D
421
1,238 ± 312
34.0%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Cottonwood, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
81.6%
186 votes · D+73.7
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 78.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
40.2%
184 votes · D+17.0
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 34.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
423votes
71.2% of the vote · D+43.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 396 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
184votes
40.2% of the vote · D+17.0
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 171 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
+65.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+73.7 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +58.6 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1992
−3.9pts R vs U.S.
Place D+9.4 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · −18.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Cottonwood · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kern County, California, the county containing Cottonwood — Cottonwood’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Cottonwood, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Cottonwood sits in Shasta County's agricultural flatlands, where unincorporated CDP status reflects a population that has historically favored limited local government. Voter turnout patterns here track closely with the county's broader rural-conservative lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.7 points in 1996. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 38.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.0 points.
A population of 3,107, a 3% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,247 describe the city.
In 2024, Cottonwood, California voted Democratic by 17.0 points (D+17.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 458 votes cast, 262 went Democratic and 184 went Republican.
How many people live in Cottonwood, California?
Cottonwood, California has a population of 3,107 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cottonwood, California?
Median household income in Cottonwood, California is $44,247 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Cottonwood, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Cottonwood, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
