Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic36.3%365TrumpRepublican61.5%619OtherAll other candidates2.2%22
R+25.2
Lead
254
Total
1,006
vs nation
R+23.8
BidenDemocratic43.9%495TrumpRepublican54.0%609OtherAll other candidates2.1%24
R+10.1
Lead
114
Total
1,128
vs nation
R+14.6
ClintonDemocratic38.6%397TrumpRepublican56.9%585OtherAll other candidates4.5%46
R+18.3
Lead
188
Total
1,028
vs nation
R+20.4
ObamaDemocratic40.0%336RomneyRepublican57.2%480OtherAll other candidates2.7%23
R+17.2
Lead
144
Total
839
vs nation
R+21.0
ObamaDemocratic37.4%310McCainRepublican62.0%513OtherAll other candidates0.6%5
R+24.5
Lead
203
Total
828
vs nation
R+31.8
KerryDemocratic29.6%227BushRepublican69.8%536OtherAll other candidates0.7%5
R+40.2
Lead
309
Total
768
vs nation
R+37.8
ClintonDemocratic36.2%291DoleRepublican53.2%428OtherAll other candidates10.6%85
R+17.0
Lead
137
Total
804
vs nation
R+25.6
ClintonDemocratic34.3%287BushRepublican43.1%361OtherAll other candidates22.6%189
R+8.8
Lead
74
Total
837
vs nation
R+14.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+25.2MIT Election Lab
Population
3,9392024 5-year
Population density
3,030 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$74,1852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
11.6%2024 5-year
Black
4.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
79.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+40.2 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
50.0%1,018 participants ÷ 2,038 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+22.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
27.2%–36.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
37.6%
34.3%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,018
2,038 ± 403
50.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
704
2,053 ± 488
34.3%
Audited
E/D
1,144
2,005 ± 556
57.1%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
870
2,316 ± 533
37.6%
Audited
E/D
1,067
2,554 ± 483
41.8%
Audited
E/D
839
2,277
36.8%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Greenfield, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
43.9%
495 votes · R+10.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 40.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
69.8%
536 votes · R+40.2
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 62.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
495votes
43.9% of the vote · R+10.1
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 397 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
619votes
61.5% of the vote · R+25.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 609 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−14.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.8 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −14.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+37.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.2 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +31.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Greenfield · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kern County, California, the county containing Greenfield — Greenfield’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Greenfield, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Greenfield sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 40.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 15.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.2 points.
A population of 3,939, a 12% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,185 describe the city.
In 2024, Greenfield, California voted Republican by 25.2 points (R+25.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,006 votes cast, 365 went Democratic and 619 went Republican.
How many people live in Greenfield, California?
Greenfield, California has a population of 3,939 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Greenfield, California?
Median household income in Greenfield, California is $74,185 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Greenfield, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Greenfield, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
