Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
56.4%2,458 participants ÷ 4,362 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+22.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
33.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%
39.5%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,458
4,362 ± 752
56.4%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,876
4,755 ± 728
39.5%
Audited
E/D
2,800
4,522 ± 664
61.9%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Happy Valley, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
31.8%
722 votes · R+36.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 30.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73.8%
1,796 votes · R+49.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
722votes
31.8% of the vote · R+36.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 667 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,823votes
72.1% of the vote · R+46.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,796 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−13.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.9 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −32.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +50.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Happy Valley · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Shasta County, California, the county containing Happy Valley — Happy Valley’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Happy Valley, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Happy Valley sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.9 points.
A population of 5,944, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,222 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oroville East and South Cleveland.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Happy Valley, California voted Republican by 49.9 points (R+49.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,433 votes cast, 582 went Democratic and 1,796 went Republican.
How many people live in Happy Valley, California?
Happy Valley, California has a population of 5,944 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Happy Valley, California?
Median household income in Happy Valley, California is $92,222 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Happy Valley, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Happy Valley, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
