Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic48.3%500TrumpRepublican48.2%499OtherAll other candidates3.6%37
D+0.1
Lead
1
Total
1,036
vs nation
D+1.6
BidenDemocratic52.7%636TrumpRepublican44.8%540OtherAll other candidates2.5%30
D+8.0
Lead
96
Total
1,206
vs nation
D+3.5
ClintonDemocratic46.5%496TrumpRepublican46.3%494OtherAll other candidates7.2%77
D+0.2
Lead
2
Total
1,067
vs nation
R+1.9
ObamaDemocratic47.0%511RomneyRepublican50.2%546OtherAll other candidates2.8%30
R+3.2
Lead
35
Total
1,087
vs nation
R+7.1
ObamaDemocratic44.9%524McCainRepublican54.5%636OtherAll other candidates0.7%8
R+9.6
Lead
112
Total
1,168
vs nation
R+16.9
KerryDemocratic36.1%384BushRepublican63.1%671OtherAll other candidates0.8%9
R+27.0
Lead
287
Total
1,064
vs nation
R+24.5
ClintonDemocratic34.0%415DoleRepublican55.5%676OtherAll other candidates10.5%128
R+21.4
Lead
261
Total
1,219
vs nation
R+29.9
ClintonDemocratic33.0%542BushRepublican44.5%731OtherAll other candidates22.6%371
R+11.5
Lead
189
Total
1,644
vs nation
R+17.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+0.1MIT Election Lab
Population
3,7602024 5-year
Population density
6,267 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$54,2922024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
33.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
57.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+8.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+27.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
44.5%1,046 participants ÷ 2,352 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+23.7 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
20.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%
31.3%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,046
2,352 ± 294
44.5%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
753
2,406 ± 314
31.3%
Audited
E/D
1,220
2,219 ± 307
55.0%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Old Stine, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
52.7%
636 votes · D+8.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 48.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
63.1%
671 votes · R+27.0
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · 55.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
636votes
52.7% of the vote · D+8.0
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 542 votes
Republican
George H. W. Bush1992
731votes
44.5% of the vote · R+11.5
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · 676 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+3.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +1.6 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+29.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.4 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +24.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Old Stine · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kern County, California, the county containing Old Stine — Old Stine’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Old Stine, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Old Stine sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 27.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.1 points.
A population of 3,760, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,292 describe the city.
In 2024, Old Stine, California voted a near-tie (D+0.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,036 votes cast, 500 went Democratic and 499 went Republican.
When did Old Stine, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Old Stine, California voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Old Stine, California?
Old Stine, California has a population of 3,760 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Old Stine, California?
Median household income in Old Stine, California is $54,292 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Old Stine, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Old Stine, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
