† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupEsteroFloridaUnited States
German18.6%8.9%12.5%
Irish15.5%8.2%9.4%
American13.9%7.7%5.3%
English13.5%8.2%9.5%
Italian10.6%5.6%4.8%
Polish4.4%2.1%2.2%
French2.7%1.7%1.6%
Scottish2.4%1.3%1.3%
Cuban2.5%7.3%0.7%
Mexican1.7%3.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.5%5.6%1.8%
Guatemalan0.7%—0.5%
Dominican0.4%1.3%0.7%
Colombian0.4%2.1%0.4%
Honduran0.3%0.6%0.3%
Nicaraguan0.2%0.6%—
Chinese0.6%0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.6%0.5%0.9%
Asian Indian0.5%0.9%1.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Estero
Florida
United States
Median age
66
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
4.0%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
51.8%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Estero
Florida
United States
Median household income
$104,102
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.7%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
50.8%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Estero
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.0%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
5.4%
22.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.2%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Estero
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Estero, Florida
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−32.2%
2008
−21.9%
2012
−35.0%
2016
−33.2%
2020
−27.4%
2024
−31.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
33.9%Harris8,401
65.0%Trump16,117
1.1%
R+31.1
R+3.8
R+29.6
24,800
R
36.0%Biden8,768
63.4%Trump15,423
0.6%
R+27.4
D+5.8
R+31.8
24,329
R
32.2%Clinton6,502
65.3%Trump13,204
2.5%
R+33.2
D+1.8
R+35.2
20,217
R
32.2%Obama4,796
67.1%Romney10,011
0.7%
R+35.0
R+13.1
R+38.8
14,910
R
38.7%Obama5,206
60.6%McCain8,144
0.7%
R+21.9
D+10.3
R+29.1
13,440
R
33.6%Kerry4,841
65.8%Bush9,478
0.6%
R+32.2
—
R+29.7
14,409
Estero incorporated as a village in 2014 after years of rapid residential buildout, and its electorate skews older and affluent — demographic traits that have consistently correlated with wide Republican margins in Lee County contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 35.0 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 37,858, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,102 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bonita Springs and Punta Gorda.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Estero, Florida voted Republican by 31.1 points (R+31.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,800 votes cast, 8,401 went Democratic and 16,117 went Republican.
How many people live in Estero, Florida?
Estero, Florida has a population of 37,858 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Estero, Florida?
Median household income in Estero, Florida is $104,102 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Estero, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Estero, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
