Hialeah, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −36.7% |
| 2008 | −27.8% |
| 2012 | −9.4% |
| 2016 | −0.1% |
| 2020 | −34.3% |
| 2024 | −52.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 23.3%Harris17,859 | 76.1%Trump58,416 | 0.6% | R+52.9 | R+18.5 | R+51.4 | 76,726 | |
| R | 32.6%Biden26,501 | 66.9%Trump54,414 | 0.5% | R+34.3 | R+34.3 | R+38.8 | 81,310 | |
| R | 48.7%Clinton33,694 | 48.8%Trump33,743 | 2.4% | R+0.1 | D+9.3 | R+2.2 | 69,125 | |
| R | 45.1%Obama27,012 | 54.5%Romney32,642 | 0.4% | R+9.4 | D+18.4 | R+13.3 | 59,920 | |
| R | 35.8%Obama22,292 | 63.6%McCain39,616 | 0.6% | R+27.8 | D+8.9 | R+35.1 | 62,255 | |
| R | 31.4%Kerry18,302 | 68.1%Bush39,688 | 0.5% | R+36.7 | — | R+34.2 | 58,277 |
Hialeah is one of the most densely populated and heavily Cuban-American cities in the U.S., and its electorate has moved measurably toward Republicans over successive cycles, making it a bellwether for Latino partisan realignment in South Florida.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 52.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 18.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.9 points.
A population of 226,165, a 3% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,594 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kendale Lakes and Tamiami.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Hialeah, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1230000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.