Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2016–20245 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
80.8%66,258 participants ÷ 82,043 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+2.8 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-20.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
72.6%–77.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
80.4%
82.4%
20162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
66,258
82,043 ± 1,611
80.8%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
64,092
77,822 ± 1,777
82.4%
Audited
E/A
68,261
80,132 ± 1,656
85.2%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
61,071
75,941 ± 1,493
80.4%
Audited
E/A
64,234
68,441 ± 1,394
93.9%
Audited
E/A
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
presidential history
Party record book
The Villages, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
34.0%
13,417 votes · R+31.2
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 33.8%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
69.5%
35,337 votes · R+39.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 68.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
22,314votes
32.8% of the vote · R+34.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 21,990 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
45,411votes
66.8% of the vote · R+34.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 43,577 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−29.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+31.6 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −30.9 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+43.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.6 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +41.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The Villages · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in The Villages, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
The Villages is a master-planned retirement enclave in central Florida where turnout among residents aged 55 and older consistently ranks among the highest of any similarly sized community in the state, making it a reliable stress-test for senior-voter modeling.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 39.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.4 points.
A population of 83,498, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,622 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Prescott and Bonita Springs.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, The Villages, Florida voted Republican by 32.4 points (R+32.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 65,870 votes cast, 21,990 went Democratic and 43,312 went Republican.
How many people live in The Villages, Florida?
The Villages, Florida has a population of 83,498 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in The Villages, Florida?
Median household income in The Villages, Florida is $77,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of The Villages, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in The Villages, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
