Belgrade, Montana
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −36.4% |
| 2008 | −19.1% |
| 2012 | −32.4% |
| 2016 | −30.2% |
| 2020 | −21.9% |
| 2024 | −26.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35.0%Harris2,085 | 61.2%Trump3,645 | 3.8% | R+26.2 | R+4.3 | R+24.7 | 5,958 | |
| R | 36.8%Biden1,987 | 58.7%Trump3,166 | 4.5% | R+21.9 | D+8.3 | R+26.3 | 5,393 | |
| R | 29.1%Clinton1,005 | 59.3%Trump2,046 | 11.6% | R+30.2 | D+2.3 | R+32.3 | 3,450 | |
| R | 31.8%Obama1,068 | 64.3%Romney2,156 | 3.9% | R+32.4 | R+13.4 | R+36.3 | 3,354 | |
| R | 38.7%Obama1,372 | 57.8%McCain2,047 | 3.5% | R+19.1 | D+17.4 | R+26.3 | 3,543 | |
| R | 30.1%Kerry917 | 66.5%Bush2,028 | 3.5% | R+36.4 | — | R+34.0 | 3,051 |
Belgrade has grown roughly 40% since 2010 as Bozeman's overflow population spills westward, bringing a suburban electorate that has made Gallatin County one of Montana's most closely watched swing corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 36.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.2 points.
A population of 11,872, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,328 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gardner and De Soto.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Belgrade, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3004975/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.