congressional districtMontana 1st Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+15.8
2008D+2.5
2012R+7.6
2016R+11.8
2020R+6.9
2024R+11.6
net swing · 2004→2024D+4.2R+15.8 → R+11.6
vs. U.S. · 2024R+10.1R+11.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 71.9% of 447,944 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
137,407
174,611
10,050
322,068
447,944
71.9%
2020
143,416
165,188
7,996
316,600
418,294†
75.7%
2016
101,341
131,088
19,767
252,196
389,541†
64.7%
2012
107,838
126,286
7,798
241,922
372,563†
64.9%
2008
121,649
115,392
9,530
246,571
357,718†
68.9%
2004
88,680
122,962
5,792
217,434
342,873†
63.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMT-1MontanaUnited States
German21.3%22.9%12.5%
Irish14.3%13.5%9.4%
English14.2%13.1%9.5%
Norwegian6.3%7.5%—
American4.5%5.4%5.3%
Italian3.7%3.2%4.8%
Scottish3.0%2.6%1.3%
French1.6%—1.6%
Blackfeet2.4%1.0%—
Mexican2.4%2.9%11.3%
Spanish0.4%0.3%—
Spaniard0.3%0.3%—
Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MT-1
Montana
United States
Median age
40.3
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
10.4%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.0%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MT-1
Montana
United States
Median household income
$73,598
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.4%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
39.2%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MT-1
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.4%
4.2%
22.3%
Spanish
1.7%
1.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
MT-1
Montana
United States
Catholic
—
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
65.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Montana 1st Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−15.8%
2008
+2.5%
2012
−7.6%
2016
−11.8%
2020
−6.9%
2024
−11.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004, 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 10 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
1
R
44.6%143,783
52.3%168,529
322,266
2022
1
R
46.5%115,265
49.6%123,102
247,960
1990
1
D
61.1%100,409
38.9%63,837
164,246
1988
1
D
60.8%115,278
39.2%74,405
189,683
1986
1
D
61.7%98,501
38.3%61,230
159,731
1984
1
D
65.6%126,998
31.9%61,794
193,452
1982
1
D
59.7%100,087
37.2%62,402
167,602
1980
1
D
61.4%112,866
38.6%70,874
183,740
1978
1
D
57.3%86,016
42.7%64,093
150,109
1976
1
D
66.4%111,487
33.6%56,297
167,784
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
49.5%160,562
48.8%158,104
324,241
2020
R
45.0%272,463
55.0%333,174
605,637
2018
D
50.3%253,876
46.8%235,963
504,384
2014
R
40.1%148,184
57.8%213,709
369,826
2012
D
48.6%236,123
44.9%218,051
486,066
2008
D
72.9%348,289
27.1%129,369
477,658
2006
D
49.2%199,845
48.3%196,283
406,505
2002
D
62.7%204,853
31.7%103,611
326,537
2000
R
47.2%194,430
50.6%208,082
411,601
1996
D
49.6%201,935
44.7%182,111
407,490
1994
R
37.6%131,845
62.4%218,542
350,387
1990
D
68.1%217,563
29.4%93,836
319,336
1988
R
48.1%175,809
51.9%189,445
365,254
1984
D
56.9%215,704
40.7%154,308
379,155
1982
D
54.5%174,861
41.7%133,789
321,062
1978
D
55.7%160,353
44.3%127,589
287,942
1976
D
64.2%206,232
35.8%115,213
321,445
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Jon Tester · Democrat49.5%160,562
Tim Sheehy · Republican48.8%158,104
Sid Daoud · Libertarian1.1%3,724
Robert Barb · Green0.6%1,851
Covering roughly the eastern two-thirds of Montana by land area, this district pairs ranching communities and energy-sector workers with small cities like Billings, producing consistent Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 15.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 541,948, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,598 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District (at Large).
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 1st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did Montana 1st Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 1st Congressional District voted Republican by 11.6 points (R+11.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 322,068 votes cast, 137,407 went Democratic and 174,611 went Republican.
When did Montana 1st Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 1st Congressional District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Montana 1st Congressional District?
Montana 1st Congressional District has a population of 541,948 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 1st Congressional District?
Median household income in Montana 1st Congressional District is $73,598 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 1st Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Montana 1st Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
