Helena Valley Northwest, Montana
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −38.1% |
| 2008 | −20.7% |
| 2012 | −35.6% |
| 2016 | −40.5% |
| 2020 | −34.9% |
| 2024 | −32.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 31.7%Harris857 | 64.6%Trump1,745 | 3.7% | R+32.9 | D+2.1 | R+31.4 | 2,702 | |
| R | 31.1%Biden820 | 66.1%Trump1,740 | 2.8% | R+34.9 | D+5.6 | R+39.4 | 2,634 | |
| R | 25.8%Clinton518 | 66.3%Trump1,330 | 7.9% | R+40.5 | R+4.9 | R+42.6 | 2,006 | |
| R | 30.9%Obama569 | 66.5%Romney1,224 | 2.6% | R+35.6 | R+14.9 | R+39.5 | 1,840 | |
| R | 38.4%Obama644 | 59.1%McCain992 | 2.5% | R+20.7 | D+17.4 | R+28.0 | 1,678 | |
| R | 29.8%Kerry481 | 67.9%Bush1,097 | 2.4% | R+38.1 | — | R+35.7 | 1,616 |
Helena Valley Northwest is an unincorporated bedroom community on the expanding edge of Montana's capital region, where low-density residential development has drawn families seeking proximity to Helena without city limits or city taxes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 40.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.9 points.
A population of 5,183, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,605 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Helena Valley West Central and Hebron.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Helena Valley Northwest, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3035631/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.