Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic51.9%302TrumpRepublican45.5%265OtherAll other candidates2.6%15
D+6.4
Lead
37
Total
582
vs nation
D+7.8
BidenDemocratic51.6%573TrumpRepublican47.9%532OtherAll other candidates0.5%6
D+3.7
Lead
41
Total
1,111
vs nation
R+0.8
ClintonDemocratic75.6%620TrumpRepublican19.4%159OtherAll other candidates5.0%41
D+56.2
Lead
461
Total
820
vs nation
D+54.1
ObamaDemocratic66.2%492RomneyRepublican32.8%244OtherAll other candidates0.9%7
D+33.4
Lead
248
Total
743
vs nation
D+29.5
ObamaDemocratic53.7%261McCainRepublican45.5%221OtherAll other candidates0.8%4
D+8.2
Lead
40
Total
486
vs nation
D+1.0
KerryDemocratic48.5%219BushRepublican50.9%230OtherAll other candidates0.7%3
R+2.4
Lead
11
Total
452
vs nation
Even
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+6.4MIT Election Lab
Population
2,8532024 5-year
Population density
7,133 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$85,9392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.1%2024 5-year
Black
12.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+56.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+2.4 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
23.2%588 participants ÷ 2,539 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+56.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+23.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
0.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
36.6%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
588
2,539 ± 271
23.2%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
584
1,597 ± 190
36.6%
Audited
E/D
1,122
1,211 ± 255
92.7%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Montclair State University, NJ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
75.6%
620 votes · D+56.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 66.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
50.9%
230 votes · R+2.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 47.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
620votes
75.6% of the vote · D+56.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 573 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
532votes
47.9% of the vote · D+3.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 265 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+54.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.2 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +29.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+0.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+3.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 0.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Montclair State University · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Montclair State University, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Montclair State's on-campus CDP is population-dense but transient, meaning registered-voter rolls and participation rates can swing sharply depending on how aggressively students are mobilized in any given cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.2 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 2.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 2,853, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,939 describe the city.
How did Montclair State University, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montclair State University, New Jersey voted Democratic by 6.4 points (D+6.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 582 votes cast, 302 went Democratic and 265 went Republican.
When did Montclair State University, New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Montclair State University, New Jersey voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Montclair State University, New Jersey?
Montclair State University, New Jersey has a population of 2,853 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montclair State University, New Jersey?
Median household income in Montclair State University, New Jersey is $85,939 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Montclair State University, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Montclair State University, New Jersey from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
