† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHope MillsNorth CarolinaUnited States
German8.7%9.4%12.5%
English8.5%12.7%9.5%
Irish7.9%8.4%9.4%
American7.7%8.3%5.3%
Italian2.8%3.3%4.8%
Scottish2.0%2.3%1.3%
Polish1.2%1.0%2.2%
French1.2%—1.6%
African American†31.2%18.3%9.9%
Jamaican1.1%0.2%0.4%
African0.6%0.7%0.5%
Haitian0.4%—0.3%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Puerto Rican5.7%1.2%1.8%
Mexican5.4%5.6%11.3%
Panamanian0.8%——
Dominican0.6%0.3%0.7%
Cuban0.5%0.3%0.7%
Colombian0.5%0.3%0.4%
Honduran0.4%0.7%0.3%
Salvadoran0.4%0.7%0.7%
Lumbee1.5%0.4%—
Filipino0.6%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.4%0.2%0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.4%1.3%
Vietnamese0.2%0.3%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hope Mills
North Carolina
United States
Median age
34
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.6%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.8%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hope Mills
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$65,774
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.1%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.4%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hope Mills
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
11.8%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
9.3%
8.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hope Mills
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
—
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.0%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hope Mills, North Carolina
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−23.9%
2008
−2.9%
2012
−1.4%
2016
−5.7%
2020
+1.5%
2024
−0.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
49.2%Harris4,031
49.5%Trump4,052
1.3%
R+0.3
R+1.8
D+1.2
8,187
D
49.8%Biden4,155
48.2%Trump4,027
2.0%
D+1.5
D+7.3
R+2.9
8,348
R
45.1%Clinton3,142
50.8%Trump3,542
4.1%
R+5.7
R+4.3
R+7.8
6,973
R
48.8%Obama3,340
50.2%Romney3,436
0.9%
R+1.4
D+1.5
R+5.3
6,839
R
48.1%Obama2,847
51.1%McCain3,020
0.8%
R+2.9
D+21.0
R+10.2
5,914
R
37.9%Kerry1,743
61.8%Bush2,842
0.2%
R+23.9
—
R+21.5
4,595
Hope Mills sits just southwest of Fayetteville in one of North Carolina's most military-dense counties, where a transient but civically engaged population of active-duty families and veterans consistently influences turnout patterns and candidate margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 1.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 23.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 17,939, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,774 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Anderson Creek and Ladson.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Hope Mills, North Carolina voted a near-tie (R+0.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,187 votes cast, 4,031 went Democratic and 4,052 went Republican.
When did Hope Mills, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hope Mills, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Hope Mills, North Carolina?
Hope Mills, North Carolina has a population of 17,939 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hope Mills, North Carolina?
Median household income in Hope Mills, North Carolina is $65,774 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Hope Mills, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Hope Mills, North Carolina from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
