Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic63.0%1,239TrumpRepublican35.9%707OtherAll other candidates1.1%22
D+27.0
Lead
532
Total
1,968
vs nation
D+28.5
BidenDemocratic63.9%1,214TrumpRepublican34.7%660OtherAll other candidates1.4%26
D+29.2
Lead
554
Total
1,900
vs nation
D+24.7
ClintonDemocratic56.3%907TrumpRepublican38.9%626OtherAll other candidates4.8%77
D+17.5
Lead
281
Total
1,610
vs nation
D+15.4
ObamaDemocratic58.3%858RomneyRepublican40.4%595OtherAll other candidates1.3%19
D+17.9
Lead
263
Total
1,472
vs nation
D+14.0
ObamaDemocratic60.6%938McCainRepublican38.4%594OtherAll other candidates1.0%16
D+22.2
Lead
344
Total
1,548
vs nation
D+14.9
KerryDemocratic58.1%851BushRepublican41.8%612OtherAll other candidates<0.1%1
D+16.3
Lead
239
Total
1,464
vs nation
D+18.8
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+27.0MIT Election Lab
Population
2,6092024 5-year
Population density
2,899 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$112,5002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.9%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
91.2%1,971 participants ÷ 2,161 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+26.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+9.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
65.0%–69.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
70.4%
72.8%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,971
2,161 ± 141
91.2%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,525
2,094 ± 132
72.8%
Audited
E/A
1,903
1,921 ± 134
99.1%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,389
1,973 ± 127
70.4%
Audited
E/A
1,643
1,872 ± 115
87.8%
Audited
E/A
1,472
1,846
79.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Yardley, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63.9%
1,214 votes · D+29.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 63.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
41.8%
612 votes · D+16.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 40.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
1,239votes
63.0% of the vote · D+27.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,214 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
707votes
35.9% of the vote · D+27.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 660 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+28.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+27.0 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +24.7 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
−14.0pts R vs U.S.
Place D+17.9 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −14.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Yardley · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Bucks County, Pennsylvania, the county containing Yardley — Yardley’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Yardley, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Yardley's small, affluent riverfront electorate sits at the edge of lower Bucks County, a corridor that has shifted measurably toward Democratic margins in recent federal cycles while remaining competitive at the local level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.0 points.
A population of 2,609, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $112,500 describe the city.
In 2024, Yardley, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 27.0 points (D+27.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,968 votes cast, 1,239 went Democratic and 707 went Republican.
How many people live in Yardley, Pennsylvania?
Yardley, Pennsylvania has a population of 2,609 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Yardley, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Yardley, Pennsylvania is $112,500 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Yardley, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Yardley, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
