Bucks County, Pennsylvania: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 647,4612024 5-year
- Median household income
- $114,7642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montgomery County, OH · similarity 0.93
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +0.9% |
| 1896 | −18.3% |
| 1900 | −11.8% |
| 1904 | −17.2% |
| 1908 | −12.8% |
| 1912 | +7.8% |
| 1916 | −10.4% |
| 1920 | −33.5% |
| 1924 | −41.7% |
| 1928 | −53.7% |
| 1932 | −21.7% |
| 1936 | +0.6% |
| 1940 | −10.0% |
| 1944 | −17.9% |
| 1948 | −27.1% |
| 1952 | −25.2% |
| 1956 | −21.6% |
| 1960 | −8.3% |
| 1964 | +21.7% |
| 1968 | −8.4% |
| 1972 | −26.8% |
| 1976 | −3.4% |
| 1980 | −22.9% |
| 1984 | −27.0% |
| 1988 | −21.2% |
| 1992 | +1.3% |
| 1996 | +3.7% |
| 2000 | +4.2% |
| 2004 | +2.8% |
| 2008 | +8.6% |
| 2012 | +1.2% |
| 2016 | +0.8% |
| 2020 | +4.4% |
| 2024 | −0.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 198,431 | 198,722 | 402,349 | ||
| D | 204,712 | 187,367 | 396,234 | ||
| D | 167,060 | 164,361 | 345,042 | ||
| D | 160,521 | 156,579 | 321,266 | ||
| D | 179,031 | 150,248 | 332,924 | ||
| D | 163,438 | 154,469 | 319,816 | ||
| D | 132,914 | 121,927 | 263,422 | ||
| D | 103,313 | 94,899 | 227,363 | ||
| D | 97,902 | 94,584 | 248,507 | ||
| R | 82,472 | 127,563 | 212,640 | ||
| R | 74,568 | 130,119 | 205,719 | ||
| R | 59,120 | 100,536 | 181,164 | ||
| R | 79,838 | 85,628 | 168,923 | ||
| R | 56,784 | 99,684 | 160,059 | ||
| R | 57,634 | 69,646 | 143,211 | ||
| D | 78,287 | 50,243 | 129,176 | ||
| R | 57,177 | 67,501 | 125,116 | ||
| R | 38,541 | 59,862 | 98,583 | ||
| R | 24,301 | 40,753 | 65,329 | ||
| R | 16,655 | 29,411 | 47,084 | ||
| R | 17,823 | 25,634 | 43,727 | ||
| R | 20,586 | 25,169 | 45,984 | ||
| D | 24,159 | 23,860 | 48,895 | ||
| R | 14,135 | 22,331 | 37,807 | ||
| R | 8,446 | 28,421 | 37,168 | ||
| R | 6,582 | 17,460 | 26,108 | ||
| R | 6,867 | 14,130 | 21,681 | ||
| R | 7,491 | 9,269 | 17,174 | ||
| D | 6,773 | 5,452 | 17,037 | ||
| R | 7,233 | 9,409 | 17,004 | ||
| R | 6,719 | 9,572 | 16,581 | ||
| R | 7,287 | 9,263 | 16,803 | ||
| R | 6,685 | 9,798 | 17,007 | ||
| D | 8,390 | 8,230 | 16,892 | ||
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Demographics
Once a reliably Republican suburban county, Bucks has tracked closely with the national suburban realignment, flipping between parties four times in the last six presidential cycles and landing at R+0.1 in 2024.
The Democratic margin here reached twenty-two points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was zero points.
A population of 647,461, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $114,764 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and St. Lucie County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bucks County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
