Elgin, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −6.3% |
| 2008 | +3.0% |
| 2012 | −5.1% |
| 2016 | +3.6% |
| 2020 | +13.4% |
| 2024 | +16.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 57.1%Harris2,339 | 40.7%Trump1,666 | 2.2% | D+16.4 | D+3.1 | D+17.9 | 4,093 | |
| D | 55.8%Biden2,015 | 42.4%Trump1,532 | 1.7% | D+13.4 | D+9.7 | D+8.9 | 3,609 | |
| D | 48.4%Clinton1,278 | 44.8%Trump1,182 | 6.8% | D+3.6 | D+8.7 | D+1.5 | 2,639 | |
| R | 46.2%Obama1,109 | 51.3%Romney1,231 | 2.5% | R+5.1 | R+8.1 | R+8.9 | 2,401 | |
| D | 51.0%Obama1,212 | 48.0%McCain1,141 | 1.0% | D+3.0 | D+9.3 | R+4.3 | 2,376 | |
| R | 45.9%Kerry916 | 52.2%Bush1,042 | 2.0% | R+6.3 | — | R+3.9 | 1,997 |
Elgin sits along U.S. 290 roughly 25 miles east of Austin, and its population has nearly doubled since 2010 as exurban pressure reshapes its historically working-class, majority-Hispanic electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.4 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 6.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.4 points.
A population of 11,563, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,114 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Live Oak and Seagoville.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Elgin, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4823044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.