Bastrop County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 106,5822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $86,2262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 45.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Asotin County, WA · similarity 0.97
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +54.8% |
| 1916 | +41.1% |
| 1920 | +27.9% |
| 1924 | +64.2% |
| 1928 | +28.7% |
| 1932 | +88.9% |
| 1936 | +84.4% |
| 1940 | +66.4% |
| 1944 | +67.5% |
| 1948 | +64.1% |
| 1952 | +34.3% |
| 1956 | +24.1% |
| 1960 | +40.6% |
| 1964 | +55.1% |
| 1968 | +24.1% |
| 1972 | −23.8% |
| 1976 | +33.4% |
| 1980 | +10.8% |
| 1984 | −15.1% |
| 1988 | +14.3% |
| 1992 | +8.8% |
| 1996 | +3.1% |
| 2000 | −18.2% |
| 2004 | −14.9% |
| 2008 | −8.2% |
| 2012 | −17.0% |
| 2016 | −20.1% |
| 2020 | −13.7% |
| 2024 | −18.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 15,989 | 23,301 | 39,917 | ||
| R | 15,474 | 20,516 | 36,762 | ||
| R | 10,569 | 16,328 | 28,665 | ||
| R | 9,864 | 14,033 | 24,481 | ||
| R | 11,687 | 13,817 | 25,918 | ||
| R | 9,794 | 13,290 | 23,441 | ||
| R | 6,973 | 10,310 | 18,308 | ||
| D | 6,773 | 6,323 | 14,585 | ||
| D | 6,252 | 4,980 | 14,474 | ||
| D | 8,004 | 5,991 | 14,092 | ||
| R | 4,744 | 6,439 | 11,221 | ||
| D | 4,716 | 3,768 | 8,748 | ||
| D | 4,788 | 2,383 | 7,204 | ||
| R | 1,906 | 3,097 | 5,010 | ||
| D | 2,687 | 1,455 | 5,117 | ||
| D | 3,912 | 1,130 | 5,049 | ||
| D | 2,866 | 1,208 | 4,080 | ||
| D | 2,504 | 1,531 | 4,045 | ||
| D | 3,148 | 1,540 | 4,694 | ||
| D | 2,518 | 443 | 3,237 | ||
| D | 2,604 | 385 | 3,289 | ||
| D | 2,492 | 502 | 2,996 | ||
| D | 2,395 | 198 | 2,602 | ||
| D | 3,077 | 180 | 3,259 | ||
| D | 1,534 | 850 | 2,384 | ||
| D | 2,711 | 494 | 3,452 | ||
| D | 1,088 | 484 | 2,166 | ||
| D | 1,335 | 550 | 1,909 | ||
| D | 1,021 | 216 | 1,468 | ||
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Demographics
Bastrop County sits southeast of Austin along the Colorado River, drawing newcomers from the metro while remaining reliably Republican — Trump carried it by 18 points in 2024 despite a decade of rapid population growth.
Bastrop County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of eighty-nine points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved five points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $86,226, and a population of 106,582. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Asotin County and Caldwell County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bastrop County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
