Lockhart, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +2.1% |
| 2008 | +9.3% |
| 2012 | +5.5% |
| 2016 | +3.6% |
| 2020 | +13.4% |
| 2024 | +7.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52.9%Harris3,011 | 45.5%Trump2,586 | 1.6% | D+7.5 | R+5.9 | D+8.9 | 5,689 | |
| D | 56.0%Biden2,903 | 42.6%Trump2,208 | 1.4% | D+13.4 | D+9.8 | D+9.0 | 5,182 | |
| D | 48.7%Clinton2,063 | 45.1%Trump1,909 | 6.3% | D+3.6 | R+1.9 | D+1.5 | 4,237 | |
| D | 51.6%Obama1,923 | 46.1%Romney1,717 | 2.3% | D+5.5 | R+3.8 | D+1.7 | 3,726 | |
| D | 54.3%Obama2,258 | 45.0%McCain1,871 | 0.8% | D+9.3 | D+7.2 | D+2.0 | 4,161 | |
| D | 50.8%Kerry2,132 | 48.7%Bush2,043 | 0.5% | D+2.1 | — | D+4.6 | 4,197 |
Lockhart's rapid population growth—driven partly by Austin-area spillover—has nudged a historically lopsided conservative margin toward something more competitive, making this small city a quiet bellwether for exurban Texas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 15,326, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,400 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grand Terrace and Grandview.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lockhart, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4843240/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.