Caldwell County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 15,737 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 1,064 | 1,067 | 39 | 2,170 | 49.0% | 49.2% | R+0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 294 | 759 | 16 | 1,069 | 27.5% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 200 | 723 | 14 | 937 | 21.3% | 77.2% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 111Precinct 111 | 449 | 446 | 20 | 915 | 49.1% | 48.7% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 223 | 560 | 11 | 794 | 28.1% | 70.5% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301 | 357 | 403 | 18 | 778 | 45.9% | 51.8% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 402Precinct 402 | 410 | 250 | 12 | 672 | 61.0% | 37.2% | D+23.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 325 | 324 | 10 | 659 | 49.3% | 49.2% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 206Precinct 206 | 237 | 406 | 2 | 645 | 36.7% | 62.9% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201 | 244 | 388 | 4 | 636 | 38.4% | 61.0% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 302Precinct 302 | 280 | 325 | 11 | 616 | 45.5% | 52.8% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 108Precinct 108 | 274 | 306 | 6 | 586 | 46.8% | 52.2% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 178 | 377 | 11 | 566 | 31.4% | 66.6% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 400Precinct 400 | 240 | 289 | 12 | 541 | 44.4% | 53.4% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 148 | 372 | 6 | 526 | 28.1% | 70.7% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 194 | 324 | 4 | 522 | 37.2% | 62.1% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401 | 310 | 174 | 5 | 489 | 63.4% | 35.6% | D+27.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 274 | 202 | 4 | 480 | 57.1% | 42.1% | D+15.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 306Precinct 306 | 207 | 226 | 2 | 435 | 47.6% | 52.0% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 305Precinct 305 | 159 | 264 | 4 | 427 | 37.2% | 61.8% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 122 | 246 | 8 | 376 | 32.4% | 65.4% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 100Precinct 100 | 224 | 134 | 6 | 364 | 61.5% | 36.8% | D+24.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 300Precinct 300 | 167 | 115 | 11 | 293 | 57.0% | 39.2% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 205Precinct 205 | 38 | 200 | 3 | 241 | 15.8% | 83.0% | R+67.2 |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +71.3% |
| 1912 | +82.5% |
| 1916 | +68.0% |
| 1920 | +47.0% |
| 1924 | +64.2% |
| 1928 | +0.9% |
| 1932 | +83.8% |
| 1936 | +84.2% |
| 1940 | +68.3% |
| 1944 | +56.9% |
| 1948 | +60.0% |
| 1952 | +16.9% |
| 1956 | +18.0% |
| 1960 | +29.5% |
| 1964 | +54.7% |
| 1968 | +29.0% |
| 1972 | −23.2% |
| 1976 | +23.8% |
| 1980 | +4.5% |
| 1984 | −11.8% |
| 1988 | +13.3% |
| 1992 | +12.5% |
| 1996 | +9.2% |
| 2000 | −14.3% |
| 2004 | −11.9% |
| 2008 | −6.0% |
| 2012 | −11.1% |
| 2016 | −15.6% |
| 2020 | −9.1% |
| 2024 | −14.4% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 22,560 |
| 2018 | 23,848 |
| 2020 | 25,945 |
| 2022 | 25,248 |
| 2024 | 27,097 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,887 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +10,768 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,699 in average income, against $66,753 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+14.2 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Caldwell County, TX itself (R+14.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Travis County, TX681D+39.3
- Hays County, TX495D+5.6
- Bastrop County, TX103R+18.4
- Williamson County, TX90R+2.4
- Guadalupe County, TX69R+29.5
- Bexar County, TX61D+9.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hays County, TX315
- Travis County, TX251
- Guadalupe County, TX102
- Bastrop County, TX84
- Bexar County, TX64
- Williamson County, TX60
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +135 |
| 2012 | +61 |
| 2013 | +333 |
| 2014 | +341 |
| 2015 | +482 |
| 2016 | +477 |
| 2017 | +969 |
| 2018 | +568 |
| 2019 | +297 |
| 2021 | +867 |
| 2022 | +675 |
| 2023 | +1,735 |
| 2024 | +1,941 |
| 2025 | +1,887 |
Caldwell County sits along the San Marcos River corridor between Austin and San Antonio, where a majority-Hispanic population has coexisted with consistent Republican margins — a pattern that intensified in the 2020s as Latino voting preferences shifted rightward statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 23.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.4 points.
A population of 48,669, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,758 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yuma County and Yakima County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Caldwell County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.