† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHarrisonburgVirginiaUnited States
German15.2%10.1%12.5%
Irish11.1%9.1%9.4%
English10.3%12.0%9.5%
Italian5.2%3.9%4.8%
American3.8%8.4%5.3%
Polish1.9%1.6%2.2%
Scottish1.9%1.9%1.3%
French1.4%1.3%1.6%
Mexican5.2%2.4%11.3%
Honduran5.2%0.7%0.3%
Puerto Rican3.8%1.4%1.8%
Salvadoran3.3%2.1%0.7%
Guatemalan1.7%0.7%0.5%
Cuban1.4%—0.7%
Dominican1.0%—0.7%
Colombian0.4%0.3%0.4%
African American†6.5%15.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.9%0.5%
Ethiopian0.2%0.5%—
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Chinese0.7%0.8%1.3%
Korean0.6%0.8%0.4%
Asian Indian0.5%1.8%1.4%
Vietnamese0.4%0.7%0.6%
Pakistani0.4%0.5%—
Filipino0.2%0.9%0.9%
Afghan0.2%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Harrisonburg
Virginia
United States
Median age
25
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
32.6%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
10.4%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Harrisonburg
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$62,254
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
25.7%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
37.5%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Harrisonburg
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
28.4%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
20.1%
7.9%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.6%
2.6%
2.0%
Arabic
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
Other languages
1.7%
1.1%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Harrisonburg
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Harrisonburg, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−13.0%
2008
+16.3%
2012
+13.4%
2016
+22.0%
2020
+31.8%
2024
+25.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
61.4%Harris10,640
36.2%Trump6,265
2.4%
D+25.2
R+6.5
D+26.7
17,329
D
64.5%Biden11,022
32.7%Trump5,591
2.8%
D+31.8
D+9.8
D+27.3
17,086
D
56.8%Clinton10,212
34.8%Trump6,262
8.4%
D+22.0
D+8.5
D+19.9
17,987
D
55.5%Obama8,630
42.1%Romney6,542
2.4%
D+13.4
R+2.9
D+9.6
15,545
D
57.6%Obama8,444
41.2%McCain6,048
1.2%
D+16.3
D+29.4
D+9.1
14,667
R
42.8%Kerry4,726
55.9%Bush6,165
1.3%
R+13.0
—
R+10.6
11,030
Harrisonburg's electorate skews younger and more diverse than its Shenandoah Valley neighbors, a profile shaped by JMU's 20,000-plus students and a sizable immigrant community that has grown steadily since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 13.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.2 points.
A population of 51,392, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,254 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Marcos and Flagstaff.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Democratic by 25.2 points (D+25.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,329 votes cast, 10,640 went Democratic and 6,265 went Republican.
When did Harrisonburg, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Harrisonburg, Virginia has a population of 51,392 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia is $62,254 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Harrisonburg, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
