Harrisonburg city, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 17,332 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -201 - NORTHWEST201 - NORTHWEST | 1,916 | 1,135 | 79 | 3,130 | 61.2% | 36.3% | D+25.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -203 - WEST203 - WEST | 1,851 | 950 | 82 | 2,883 | 64.2% | 33.0% | D+31.3 |
| Precinct -101 - NORTHEAST101 - NORTHEAST | 1,504 | 963 | 60 | 2,527 | 59.5% | 38.1% | D+21.4 |
| Precinct -202 - SOUTHWEST202 - SOUTHWEST | 1,418 | 1,015 | 63 | 2,496 | 56.8% | 40.7% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -104 - EAST104 - EAST | 1,230 | 900 | 43 | 2,173 | 56.6% | 41.4% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct -103 - SOUTHEAST103 - SOUTHEAST | 1,147 | 711 | 44 | 1,902 | 60.3% | 37.4% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -102 - EAST CENTRAL102 - EAST CENTRAL | 1,270 | 506 | 44 | 1,820 | 69.8% | 27.8% | D+42.0 |
| Precinct -105 - SOUTH EAST CENTRAL105 - SOUTH EAST CENTRAL | 305 | 86 | 10 | 401 | 76.1% | 21.4% | D+54.6 |
| East51660000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| East Central51660000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Northeast51660000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Northwest51660000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| South East Central51660000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Southeast51660000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Southwest51660000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| West51660000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1916–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1916 | +4.0% |
| 1920 | −8.4% |
| 1924 | −0.6% |
| 1928 | −25.5% |
| 1932 | +19.5% |
| 1936 | +21.6% |
| 1940 | +18.6% |
| 1944 | −0.4% |
| 1948 | −26.6% |
| 1952 | −55.7% |
| 1956 | −58.6% |
| 1960 | −44.3% |
| 1964 | +21.6% |
| 1968 | −41.9% |
| 1972 | −47.2% |
| 1976 | −29.4% |
| 1980 | −25.7% |
| 1984 | −37.0% |
| 1988 | −31.1% |
| 1992 | −15.8% |
| 1996 | −17.9% |
| 2000 | −22.7% |
| 2004 | −13.0% |
| 2008 | +16.3% |
| 2012 | +13.4% |
| 2016 | +22.0% |
| 2020 | +31.8% |
| 2024 | +25.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 28,569 |
| 2018 | 26,298 |
| 2020 | 26,076 |
| 2022 | 26,216 |
| 2024 | 25,964 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−862 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −6,725 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,510 in average income, against $64,689 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.2 on average — 50 points more Republican-leaning than Harrisonburg city, VA itself (D+25.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Rockingham County, VA553R+36.8
- Augusta County, VA74R+47.3
- Shenandoah County, VA54R+42.1
- Fairfax County, VA50D+34.7
- Staunton city, VA46D+13.3
- Albemarle County, VA31D+33.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Rockingham County, VA799
- Augusta County, VA95
- Staunton city, VA65
- Fairfax County, VA56
- Albemarle County, VA44
- Shenandoah County, VA39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +370 |
| 2012 | +773 |
| 2013 | −472 |
| 2014 | +190 |
| 2015 | −567 |
| 2016 | +96 |
| 2017 | −705 |
| 2018 | −775 |
| 2019 | −994 |
| 2021 | −663 |
| 2022 | −1,153 |
| 2023 | −756 |
| 2024 | −1,207 |
| 2025 | −862 |
Home to James Madison University, Harrisonburg's electorate skews young and educated, producing Democratic margins above 25 points even as the surrounding Shenandoah Valley counties trend heavily Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 58.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.2 points.
A population of 51,392, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,254 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Williamsburg city and Marion County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harrisonburg city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.