Harrisonburg city, Virginia: New American county. In 2024, voted D+25%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 51,3922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rockdale County, GA · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | +4.0% |
| 1920 | −8.4% |
| 1924 | −0.6% |
| 1928 | −25.5% |
| 1932 | +19.5% |
| 1936 | +21.6% |
| 1940 | +18.6% |
| 1944 | −0.4% |
| 1948 | −26.6% |
| 1952 | −55.7% |
| 1956 | −58.6% |
| 1960 | −44.3% |
| 1964 | +21.6% |
| 1968 | −41.9% |
| 1972 | −47.2% |
| 1976 | −29.4% |
| 1980 | −25.7% |
| 1984 | −37.0% |
| 1988 | −31.1% |
| 1992 | −15.8% |
| 1996 | −17.9% |
| 2000 | −22.7% |
| 2004 | −13.0% |
| 2008 | +16.3% |
| 2012 | +13.4% |
| 2016 | +22.0% |
| 2020 | +31.8% |
| 2024 | +25.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 10,641 | 6,266 | 17,332 | ||
| D | 11,022 | 5,591 | 17,086 | ||
| D | 10,212 | 6,262 | 17,987 | ||
| D | 8,654 | 6,565 | 15,593 | ||
| D | 8,444 | 6,048 | 14,675 | ||
| R | 4,726 | 6,165 | 11,030 | ||
| R | 3,482 | 5,741 | 9,958 | ||
| R | 3,346 | 4,945 | 8,937 | ||
| R | 3,414 | 4,935 | 9,632 | ||
| R | 2,799 | 5,376 | 8,288 | ||
| R | 2,384 | 5,221 | 7,661 | ||
| R | 1,896 | 3,388 | 5,796 | ||
| R | 1,803 | 3,376 | 5,358 | ||
| R | 524 | 1,497 | 2,061 | ||
| R | 1,036 | 2,859 | 4,352 | ||
| D | 13,542 | 8,731 | 22,288 | ||
| R | 836 | 2,172 | 3,015 | ||
| R | 571 | 2,265 | 2,893 | ||
| R | 635 | 2,238 | 2,876 | ||
| R | 751 | 1,377 | 2,352 | ||
| R | 1,292 | 1,302 | 2,602 | ||
| D | 1,462 | 1,000 | 2,481 | ||
| D | 1,390 | 894 | 2,297 | ||
| D | 995 | 665 | 1,692 | ||
| R | 616 | 1,037 | 1,653 | ||
| R | 624 | 631 | 1,270 | ||
| R | 594 | 704 | 1,307 | ||
| D | 346 | 319 | 670 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Home to James Madison University, Harrisonburg's electorate skews young and educated, producing Democratic margins above 25 points even as the surrounding Shenandoah Valley counties trend heavily Republican.
Harrisonburg city has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of thirty-two points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved seven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $62,254, and a population of 51,392. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rockdale County and Hamilton County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harrisonburg city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
