- Lead
- 561
- Total
- 3,186
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- 60.7%
Chugach Census Area, AK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.7% of 5,253 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 309
- Total
- 3,666
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- 75.4%
- Lead
- 593
- Total
- 2,826
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 371
- Total
- 3,126
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 892
- Total
- 3,556
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 947
- Total
- 3,514
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,278
- Total
- 3,610
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 442
- Total
- 3,144
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,8622024 5-year
- Population density
- 0.72 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9,575 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,5092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.4 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK · twin score 78.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 turnout
- 60.7%3,186 participants ÷ 5,253 CVAP
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,186 | 5,253 ± 180 | 60.7% | Audited | C/A | |
| 3,666 | 4,860 ± 212 | 75.4% | Audited | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 6 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 09-650 Valdez No. 1650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-655 Valdez No. 2655 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-660 Valdez No. 3660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-665 Whittier665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 32-805 Cordova805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 32-850 Tatitlek850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Chugach Census Area, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.3%
671 votes · D+36.7
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 50.1%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
69.5%
1,875 votes · R+42.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 61.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,583votes
43.2% of the vote · R+8.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,295 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
2,167votes
60.9% of the vote · R+25.1
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 2,163 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+14.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.7 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · +0.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+35.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.4 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +32.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Chugach Census Area, AK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.4 points more Republican than the rolls.
4,210 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−41 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −650 over 2021–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,288 in average income, against $92,975 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Chugach Census Area, AK itself (R+17.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK35D+1.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK38
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2021 | −157 |
| 2022 | −114 |
| 2023 | −188 |
| 2024 | −150 |
| 2025 | −41 |
Stretching across Prince William Sound and the Kenai Peninsula's fringes, Chugach Census Area is one of Alaska's least-dense jurisdictions, where Indigenous communities and remote fishing villages drive turnout patterns that diverge sharply from urban Alaska.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 42.4 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.6 points.
A population of 6,862, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,509 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ketchikan Gateway Borough and Sitka City and Borough.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chugach Census Area, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.